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Archives by Year:
I Think We Called 2023, What’s With 2024?
Image source: Pixabay As you know we were bearish in 2022 and turned bullish near year-end 2022. We stayed bullish through 2023. While everybody was bearish expecting a recession at 2022 year-end, we were data dependent. Jobless claims and the GDP data were showing strength turning into 2023. I have never heard of a recession if […]
Time Preference Is The Key Driver Of Interest Rates
Image Source: Pexels By popular thinking, whenever the central bank raises the growth rate of the money supply through the buying of financial assets such as Treasuries this pushes the prices of Treasuries higher and their yields lower. This is labeled as the monetary liquidity effect. This effect is inversely correlated with interest rates.Furthermore, an increase […]
It’s Not Over Till It’s Over
Image Source: Unsplash MARKETSWhile operating in a macro news vacuum, stocks traded lower as investors were left dodging higher US yields after a rough long bond sale and a rare rally pushback from Chair Powell.In an unusual pushback, not only suggesting he means business but obviously not pleased with the recent easing in financial conditions, Federal […]
Is The TLT At A Turning Point?
As I’ve mentioned in previous posts and webinars, the bond market is probably the least understood of the four capital markets. Most people’s eyes glaze over whenever it is mentioned. However, the bond market is at the heart of the financial system as it sets the cost of money, which feeds into all areas of […]
Inflation Remarks Finish Off Market Rally
All good things must come to an end, including the stock market’s recent rally. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq today snapped their best win streaks in about two years, which reached eight straight positive sessions for the former, and nine for the latter. The Dow shed 220 points, meanwhile, after yesterday putting an end to its own […]
Labor Market Starting To Crack
Image Source: Pexels So far this year, companies have planned 604,514 job cuts, a 198% increase from the 209,495 cuts announced through September 2022. It is the highest January-September total since 2020 when 2,082,262 cuts were recorded. Apart from that COVID year it is the highest January to September total since 2009.The real story behind the […]
Smart Tech: The Road To Recovery For Tech Stocks In 2023
Image Source: Unsplash In the ever-evolving world of technology, 2022 proved to be a challenging year for many tech stocks. However, as we look towards the future, there’s a renewed sense of optimism for certain companies that have weathered the storm. While mega-cap tech stocks garnered much of the spotlight, another class of recovering tech stocks shows […]
Why Energy Demand Should Be The Last Thing You Worry About When Investing In Oil Stocks
— Demand concerns no longer make sense as a negative in the energy investment process— The game has changed— In the new world of hydrocarbons it’s all about capital discipline and supply management.— The Exxon (XOM) / Pioneer (PXD) deal and Chevron (CVX) / Hess (HES) deals are emblematic of this shift. Demand Concerns Photo by Kevin WestAccording to […]
AMC Stock Price Forecast: Pain Ahead As Bottoming Signs Emerge
Photo by Donreál Lunkin on Unsplash AMC Entertainment (NYSE: AMC) stock price continued its remarkable sell-off on Thursday after the company moved to dilute its shareholders some more. The shares plunged to a low of $8.30, which was almost 90% from the highest point this year. AMC further dilution AMC Entertainment has been one of the worst-performing companies […]
Gold Demand Continues To Soar In China
Image Source: Pixabay While the price of gold has come in this week, it has rallied slightly on Thursday morning trading and still remains within shouting distance of the $2,000 mark. And one reason that the price has performed as strongly as it has, is that in addition to a strong overall level of central bank […]
