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Archives by Year:
The Financial System Has Reached The End
Image Source: Unsplash The world is now witnessing the end of a currency and financial system that the Chinese already forecast in 1971 after Nixon closed the gold window.Again, remember von Mises words: “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion.”History tells us that we have now […]
Halted Homebuilders
Image Source: Unsplash There is a multi-year trendline that has taken the ascent of homebuilders and brought it to a screeching halt for two weeks now. Here is the XHB: You can see the blue trendline here as a part of the wedge pattern. It seems to me it is very likely that this will ease back to close […]
Recession Alert – Yield Curve Inverts, DXY Pattern Revealed, Natural Gas Bounce Imminent
Image Source: Pixabay Recessions come when the Fed cuts rates and when the yield curve de-inverts – Gareth also gives us a golden nugget on the DXY around major vs. minor trendlines.Natural Gas is into major support with the addition of a retrace to the 0.5 Fib level which predicts a technical bounce.Video Length: 00:07:08More By […]
Could IonQ Become The Next Nvidia? Perhaps, Here’s Why
Photo by Steve Johnson on Unsplash It behooves the savvy investor to search out the “next Nvidia” that is exposed to the same secular AI tailwinds but has more upside potential than Nvidia given its tremendous size ($1.2T market capitalization). Could IonQ (IONQ), with a market cap of only $2.5B, be that quantum computing company? About IonQ IonQ […]
Has Volatility Been Permanently Subdued?
For veteran options pros, it seems strange to see VIX (Cboe Volatility Index) mired in the 12-13 range. Sure, investors are in a buoyant mood, which would reduce their desire to seek volatility protection, but there have been plenty of periods in recent years when investors have been sanguine while VIX traded at higher levels. […]
Macro: New Home Sales
Image Source: Pexels New home sales have been in an uptrend for the past 15 months. That trend is slowing and has perhaps come to an end. In October, homes sold at a rate of 679,000 units per year or just above the long term average of 656,000 units. The median price continues to come down. […]
Yields Slide After Solid 5Y Auction Reverses Bitter Aftertaste From Ugly 2Y Sale
The difference between the disappointing 2Y auction earlier today and the just concluded sale of $55BN in 5Y paper was almost, but not quite, like night and day.Pricing at a high yield of 4.420%, the 5Y auction stopped through the When Issued 4.425% by 0.5bps, a reversal from last month’s whopper of a 1.9bps tail, […]
How To Manage Risk With Spread Trading
Image Source: Unsplash As options traders, risk management is always top of mind. We look for trades with the right combination of price and time that fit our risk profile and allow a nice profit. Spread trading is one technique that can substantially mitigate risk and increase your chances of making money. Isn’t that the point […]
“Worst Part” For Stocks Lies Ahead In 1st Half Of 2024
Image Source: Pexels Here at the end of 2023, confidence in the economy and the financial markets is a lot higher than it was at this time a year ago.Is that confidence justified? Or will 2024 deliver a rude awakening?To find out, we turn to the experience and wisdom of financial advisor Ted Oakley, managing partner […]
Softs Report – Monday, Nov. 27
Photo by Amber Martin on Unsplash COTTON General Comments: Cotton closed a little higher last week and near the highs of the week. The export sales report was positive for prices once again last week. The US Dollar has been weaker and economic data has been positive. The weekly export sales report was strong. There are still many […]
