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Stocks Fall On January 3, 2024, As Winds Of Market Change Become Stronger

Stocks Fall On January 3, 2024, As Winds Of Market Change Become Stronger

Image Source: UnsplashStocks fell for a second day, with the S&P 500 dropping by around 80 bps. The index gapped lower, unwinding the big buy imbalance at yesterday’s close. It did find support on a few occasions at 4,700, serving as the put wall today. This lower move likely sent the index into negative gamma, with […]
Safety Net Kept You Safe From Dividend Cuts In 2023

Safety Net Kept You Safe From Dividend Cuts In 2023

Image Source: UnsplashI hope your 2024 is off to a great start.2023 was a stellar year for Safety Net. It did exactly what it was designed to do: It let you know that your dividends with “A” and “B” ratings were safe, and it warned you about your dividends with “D” and “F” ratings before they […]
Current Analysis: Petrobras

Current Analysis: Petrobras

Image Source: UnsplashPetrobras (PBR) is a Brazil-based integrated energy company controlled by the Brazilian government.The company focuses on the exploration and production of oil and gas in Brazilian offshore fields.Production in 2022 was 2.7 million barrels of oil equivalent a day (80% oil production), and reserves stood at 10.5 billion boe (85% oil). At year-end 2022, […]
January – Nasdaq Has The Best Odds Of Gains But

January – Nasdaq Has The Best Odds Of Gains But

“January provides us with a wealth of information that gets our year off to a good start financially and emotionally.The data is specifically chosen to begin in 2009 because that is the bottom of the most significant bear market prior to the 2022 bear market, and 2009 represents the beginning of an era of distinctly […]
Rates Spark: The Term Premium – Why So Negative?

Rates Spark: The Term Premium – Why So Negative?

Image Source: PixabayThe FOMC minutes referenced a future plan for slowing QT, mentioned a peak in rates and talked of a slowdown and inflation successes. Nothing startling, but also nothing to negate 2024 rate cut hopes. There was also mention of a term premium collapse of late. Rate cut hopes can shield this as an issue. […]
Macro: ISM Mfg PMI — 47.4

Macro: ISM Mfg PMI — 47.4

Image Source: PexelsManufacturing regionally, nationally, and globally continues to be in contraction. In line with that theme, ISM reported 47.4% this morning, the 14th straight month of contraction. Manufacturing is contracting at slower rates and export orders continue to show improvement. To date, this has played out more like a slowly recovering COVID hangover. The fear […]
Twenty-First Century Fox: DJCI Gold Tops Stocks And Bonds This Century

Twenty-First Century Fox: DJCI Gold Tops Stocks And Bonds This Century

The equity markets roared to the finish line, easily passing commodities and bonds with a 26.3% return for the S&P 500®  in 2023. Much of that rally could be attributed to declining consumer price indices and favorable Federal Reserve guidance, with increased confidence in a soft landing. Declining inflation can best be observed at the kitchen […]
Visualizing 150 Years Of S&P 500 Returns

Visualizing 150 Years Of S&P 500 Returns

2023 was supposed to be a tough year for stocks.However, consumers shrugged off higher interest rates, and investors were more optimistic than fearful largely due to exuberance around AI. As a result, the S&P 500 rallied over 24% in 2023.To put these gains in perspective, this graphic shows yearly returns for the S&P 500 since 1874, using […]
3 Impact Trades To Kick Off 2024

3 Impact Trades To Kick Off 2024

Image Source: Unsplash With the market falling from highs, how are stock prices shaping up to begin 2024? Let’s look at three plays that should benefit by the market outlook in the coming months. (FXI, JETS, GLD, IYR, XLE, XOM).Video Length: 00:31:08More By This Author:Did Santa Claus Leave Town A Day Early? Is 2024 Ripe For […]
Three Stocks To Diversify Beyond The Magnificent Seven In 2024

Three Stocks To Diversify Beyond The Magnificent Seven In 2024

Image courtesy of 123rf.com The fresh 2024 is on a trajectory to see the reversal of the Fed’s interest rate hiking cycle. Fed fund futures keep pricing in this likelihood, now seeing a 64% probability of the first rate cut in March, followed by 100% rate cut probabilities throughout the year.At the same time, recession indicators are still […]