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Archives by Year:
The February 2024 Rebalance Of The S&P 500 Low Volatility Index
Since the previous rebalance for the S&P 500® Low Volatility Index on Nov. 17, 2023, and its most recent on Feb. 16, 2024, the S&P 500 delivered a stunning 11.3% return. During this period, the S&P 500 Low Volatility Index was up 5.3%, strong by historical standards, albeit underperforming the S&P 500. As has been the trend recently, the S&P […]
Coinbase Stock Price Rally Putting In Bearish Reversal?
The past 15 months have been very good for Coinbase’s (COIN) stock price.During that time, COIN has rallied from $31 to over $230. And the rally has seen some wild volatility!Today’s “weekly” chart of Coinbase highlights this and more. As you can see, COIN has been in a wide up-trend channel for the past 15 months. […]
2024 Started As 2023 Ended With Central Banks Buying More Gold
Image Source: Unsplash Central banks took up where they left off in 2023, adding more gold to their stockpiles to kick off the new year. Globally, central banks increased their gold reserves by a net 39 tons in January, according to the latest data compiled by the World Gold Council. Turkey was the biggest buyer in January, […]
Lagarde Opens The Door Slightly To June Rate Cuts
Photo by Finn Protzmann on Unsplash ECB President Christine Lagarde slightly opened the door to rate cuts at the June meeting. However, with inflation gradually coming down but not undershooting the target and growth returning to potential later this year, the central bank’s macro outlook doesn’t offer a lot of room for a longer series of […]
Russell 2000 Earnings Dashboard 23Q4 – Thursday, March 7
Image Source: Unsplash Russell 2000 Aggregate Estimates and Revisions The 23Q4 Y/Y blended earnings growth estimate is -15.9%. If the energy sector is excluded, the growth rate for the index is -10.2%. Of the 1473 companies in the Russell 2000 that have reported earnings to date for 23Q4, 56.4% reported above analyst expectations. The 23Q4 Y/Y blended revenue growth estimate is -1.5%. If the energy sector is excluded, the growth rate for […]
Central Banks Sit Tight As Pain Spreads
Image Source: Pexels Yesterday, the Bank of Canada announced it would hold its key interest rate at 5%, the highest since 2007. At the press conference, Governor Macklem confirmed that policy discussions considered how long rates should stay at present levels but added, “It’s still too early to consider lowering the policy interest rate.”The main cause for concern remains unaffordable […]
Consumer Discretionary Sector: A Favorite For Growth
Image Source: Unsplash The consumer discretionary sector is one of my favorite sectors for growth. Companies in this sector make goods that are fun to have but not essential, hence they follow economic cycles and consumers’ sentiment. This “all-you-fit-in” sector is also called consumer cyclical in financial literature.Discretionary spending is all the expenses you incur after […]
Initial Jobless Claims Continue Positive
The most important reason I cover initial jobless claims is because they are an “official” short leading indicator. They are also very good at forecasting the short-term trend in the unemployment rate in the monthly jobs report, which will be updated for February tomorrow.And the news continues to be positive. Initial claims were unchanged at […]
Asia Week Ahead: People’s Bank Of China To Set Rates And Japan’s Revised GDP
Image Source: Pixabay Next week features Japan’s revised GDP numbers and China’s decision on the medium-term lending facility. Meanwhile, regional economies release trade figures and India reports inflation. China PBoC to set MLF rateThe People’s Bank of China will set its one-year medium-term lending facility rate on 15 March, with markets looking to see if there will […]
Rising Temporary Fragility
Powell didn‘t commit to any time specified rate cut, and S&P 500 disregarded JOLTS coming in no landing way. It was only NYCB (when it was almost simultaneously announced it raised fresh capital) and then BoJ hinting at policy normalization that sent equities lower late in the session and then some more.Here are the most […]
