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Archives by Year:
The Magnitude Of The Difference In Return A Greater Issue Than A Narrow Market
In evaluating the recent investment market and economic data, it is notable the amount of the data that is providing conflicting signals. One equity market factor that currently stands out is the seemingly narrowness of the market. S&P Dow Jones Indices has noted in their prior research work that narrowness itself, or lack of market […]
Quantity Of Money And Inflation – Part 1: General Considerations
We have found that the correlation relationships between various types of credit and inflation are variable over time. The same is true for the M2 money supply. depositphotos The sources of credit studied are government deficit spending,1,6 consumer credit,2 mortgage debt,3 nonfinancial corporate credit,4 and financial sector debt.5 The correlation between the M2 money supply and inflation was reported here.7 The […]
An Alternative Civilian Employment Measure
Several observers have pointed out the gap between civilian employment as measured by the CPS, and the nonfarm payroll employment numbers obtained from the CES. depositphotos The CPS measure includes new population controls, which depend on the estimated immigration. CBO estimates a lot more net immigration than Census, which when applied to employment might alter our views […]
Weekly Market Outlook – So Good It’s Bad?
Two weeks ago the rally was starting to show some cracks. They were all repaired last week… and then some. Indeed, stocks logged a major gain during the holiday-shortened week, ending at record highs above important technical ceilings. The unlikely move leaves traders wondering what’s next — is there actually room for more upside? There […]
Polluters Provide Higher Returns Than Non-Polluters
While sustainable investments allow investors to express their attitude to social investment criteria, research (for example, about socially responsible mutual funds and also about sustainability) has found that the demand for sustainable investments is driven by both financial and nonfinancial motives. What does economic theory have to say about these different motives: Are they aligned or in conflict? depositphotos Economic […]
Gold Gives Thanks As The Economy Tanks
Through recent missives we’ve been near-term negative on Gold, indeed looking for a move down to test the 2247-2171 structural support zone. Such read remains in concert with price’s weekly MACD (moving average convergence divergence) still adversely positioned. depositphotos But gritty Gold refuses to fold, price settling yesterday (Friday) at 2400, all told! And when the yellow […]
The June CPI May Give Investors A Big Chill
The results to be tabulated in the June CPI report due out on July 11, currently are set at a very low bar by the markets. There are expectations that inflation will return later in the year.Video Length: 00:11:20More By This Author:The S&P 500 Triggers Two Major Reversal Patterns The Week Of June 28, 2024 […]
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 8 & 15
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. Forecast Prior Observation Week of July 8 July 8 Consumer Credit – May $6.5B 6.4 July 9 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index – June 91.5 […]
The Fake Petrodollar Story – No, Saudi Arabia Didn’t Ditch The Dollar
More By This Author:When Should You Sell Nvidia Stock? How Temu Win Alibaba: PDD Stock Analysis Chinese Stocks: BABA Tencent Stock Analysis
Exits – Saturday, July 6 This Week’s Trade Exits Comments
Photo by Ben Welch on Unsplash This Week’s Trade ExitsAs soon as I exit a trade, I note that in the comments of the post where I first mentioned the trade; at the end of the week, I try to track them all in one post. These are the trades I exited this week.Stocks or Exchange Traded Products […]
