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Archives by Year:
Exits, 8/9/2024
The performance of our top names remains strong. So far, we have 6-month returns for 59 weekly top names cohorts since we started this Substack at the end of December, 2022, and as you can see here, our top names have averaged returns of 22.08% over the last six months, versus SPY’s average of 12.92%. By exiting […]
SPY Breadth And Underperforming Bonds
S&P 500 defended the post unemployment claims high ground in a no news Friday, market breadth further improved and VIX retreated. Also the opening flush to shake out retail has been weak, and both S&P 500 and Nasdaq overcame Wednesday‘s trappy highs – unlike the Russell 2000. Why did smallcaps have a harder time this […]
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
depositphotos Bearish view Sell the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.2600. Add a stop-loss at 1.3000. Timeline: 1-5 weeks. Bullish view Buy the GBP/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.3000. Add a stop-loss at 1.2600. The GBP/USD pair retreated for four consecutive weeks as hedge funds and other speculators reduced their bullish bets on the […]
Nvidia Despite Market Gains: Important Facts To Note
Nvidia (NVDA – Free Report) closed the latest trading day at $104.75, indicating a -0.21% change from the previous session’s end. This change lagged the S&P 500’s daily gain of 0.47%. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 0.13%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, added 0.51%. depositphotosShares of the maker of graphics chips for gaming and artificial intelligence have depreciated […]
ETFs Where Are They Now?
Did this past week really resolve which way the Modern Family wants to go from here?In some ways yes and other ways no. depositphotos Yes All are still holding their 50-week moving averages Semiconductors remain in a bullish phase with a good bounce off the 50-WMA The slopes on all the moving averages both 50 and 200 […]
Is A US Recession Imminent?
Recent fears of a US recession have been fueled by a disappointing employment report, which triggered a sharp global market sell-off. depositphotos While markets have partially recovered, concerns about the economy’s trajectory persist.However, experts suggest that these recession fears may be overstated.Here’s a closer look at the current economic landscape and expert perspectives on the potential for […]
Weekly Commentary: Regime Change
For the week, the VIX declined three points to 20.37. The S&P500 was basically unchanged. The Nasdaq100 increased 0.4%. The KBW Bank Index added 0.2%. Germany’s DAX increased 0.3%, and France’s CAC40 added 0.2%. The UK’s FTSE100 slipped 0.1%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 ended the week 2.5% lower. Bitcoin fell 2.6%. Investment Grade CDS was little […]
Gary Gensler Has Politicized The Agency: Will Kamala Harris Fire The SEC Chair If Elected?
In a recent discussion, Sheila Warren, CEO of the Crypto Council for Innovation, addressed the potential implications if Vice President Kamala Harris were to win the presidential election in November. In an interview with The Paul Barron Network, when asked about the future of Senator Elizabeth Warren’s position on the Senate Banking Committee and the fate of SEC […]
Book Review: Autocracy, Inc By Anne Applebaum
One of the most impressive aspects of the Ukraine war has been how over 40 countries, led by NATO, have rallied together to offer military, financial, and humanitarian support to Ukraine since the Russian invasion in February 2022.But one of the most disturbing aspects has been how fellow autocratic regimes, notably China, Iran, and North Korea, […]
A Double Dose Of Jamie Dimon On Inflation And Interest Rate Cuts
I am in the same camp with Jamie Dimon on two economic issues. If we are correct, the Fed is in for a rough period. Dimon Is Skeptical Inflation Will Return to Fed’s 2% TargetI am unsure who arrived at these views first but I have been saying what Dimon says today for a couple of […]
