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Archives by Year:
Earnings Season: 3 Key Quarterly Reports To Watch
Image Source: UnsplashThe Q2 earnings season continues its rapid pace next week, with many notable companies on the reporting docket. The expectation remains for another period of growth, with the Tech sector forecasted to enjoy a strong showing.Concerning next week’s docket, three notable companies – Home Depot (HD – Free Report), Walmart (WMT – Free Report), and Deere & Co. […]
3 Utility Stocks To Buy For Defensive Safety Amid Heightened Market Volatility
Image Source: UnsplashMarkets continued to fall today as Friday’s jobs report showed the US labor force continued to cool while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, its highest peak since 2021.Also extending this week’s selloff was underwhelming Q3 guidance from several big tech firms. However, the utility sector may be one to consider amid heightened market […]
Employment: Different Measures
Image Source: PixabayNFP comes under, 114K vs. 176K consensus. Private NFP also missed, +97K vs. +148K consensus.Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment from CES (blue), early benchmark (tan), QCEW seasonally adjusted by author using X-13 (red), and CPS series adjusted to NFP concept (green), all in logs, 2023M04=0. Source: BLS via FRED, BLS, Philadelphia Fed and author’s calculations.The […]
Stocks And Precious Metals Charts – The Reign Of The Moneyed Interests And Malignant Narcissists
Image Source: PexelsStocks continued their downward spiral, following a much weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report and a rise in the unemployment rate.So far this is just a correction. Today the SP 500 tagged the 50% Fibonacci retracement for this current bubble up rally.Gold and silver held their ground reasonably well.The Dollar was knocked down 1.23.VIX rose higher.Gold and […]
Game On! Volatility Strikes Back… And It Strikes Hard
Image Source: UnsplashIt looks like, after a long, long run of being upside-down, bad news is bad news again…Not-great job numbers are pointing to an economic slowdown; crude oil prices are actually pricing one in. Bond prices are in full-on “duck-and-cover” mode.”Second-quarter earnings have been kryptonite for tech stocks. Investors are getting a rude awakening – […]
Intel Tanks On Big Q2 Earnings Miss: ETFs In Focus
Image Source: PexelsIntel (INTC – Free Report) disappointed investors as it reported lackluster second-quarter 2024 results. The world’s largest chipmaker missed estimates on both earnings and revenues and guided a loss for the third quarter. It plans to lay off 15% of its workforce as part of a $10 billion cost-savings plan and suspended quarterly dividend payments. Intel shares […]
Strategic Vs. Tactical: The Two Approaches To Portfolio Construction
Image Source: PexelsA strategic portfolio is designed around an investor’s long-term goals—returns, risks, liquidity, time horizon, and taxes, for the most part. You would then mix your assets and the weight of those assets in your portfolio, based on your most important goals.Here’s an example of a strategic portfolio’s asset allocation:Cash = 10% Bonds = 35% Stocks = […]
Nucor Corp. Dividend Stock Analysis
Image Source: PixabayLinked here is a detailed quantitative analysis of Nucor Corporation (NUE). Below are some highlights from the above-linked analysis: Company Description: Nucor Corporation is the largest minimill steelmaker in the U.S., Nucor has one of the most diverse product lines of any steelmaker in the Americas. Fair Value: In calculating fair value, I consider the NPV MMA Differential […]
July Jobs Report: Estblishment Survey Weak (But Still Positive), Household Survey (Even More) Recessionary
Image Source: PixabayIn the past few months, my focus has been on whether jobs gains are most consistent with a “soft landing,” i.e., no further deterioration, or whether deceleration is ongoing. In the last several months I have also pointed out that the Household Survey is probably understating growth because of its large undercount of recent immigrants […]
Gold And Silver Are Now Pricing In ‘Stagflation’
Image Source: UnsplashGold and silver are rallying again this morning, as the prices of both precious metals were higher ahead of the non-farm payroll report. And after a weak labor number, they’ve rallied even further.With December gold futures above $2,500, and silver back over $29.Of course, this follows a volatile 2 day-period that included a Fed […]
