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“Yellen Rebuffs Trump Argument On Dollar Hurting US Manufacturing”

“Yellen Rebuffs Trump Argument On Dollar Hurting US Manufacturing”

That’s a title of an article by Christopher Condon, in Bloomberg a few days ago. What’s the evidence? Figure 1 shows the typically referenced CPI deflated trade weighted dollar.Figure 1: CPI deflated trade weighted dollar (blue), and unit labor cost deflated trade weighted dollar (tan). NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: OECD via FRED.The unit labor […]
Markets, Please Exit To Safety In An Orderly Fashion

Markets, Please Exit To Safety In An Orderly Fashion

Image Source: Pexels The “feel” of the market is strange right now. It feels like someone saw a fire and pulled the alarm… but investors are essentially treating it like a fire drill.We’re not seeing panic, chaos, mass capital destruction – just a big selloff of marquee names like Nvidia on the Nasdaq. Stocks like NVDA, […]
Desperately Seeking Plunge Protection

Desperately Seeking Plunge Protection

Image Source: Pexels Investors scrambled into damage control mode on Thursday as stocks took a brutal beating. The sell-off was driven by weak economic data and another sharp decline in chip stocks, spreading losses across all three major indexes. This plunge came just a day after the Federal Reserve decided to hold rates steady, to a […]
Market Talk – Thursday, Aug. 1

Market Talk – Thursday, Aug. 1

Image Source: Pixabay ASIA:The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: NIKKEI 225 decreased 975.49 points or -2.49% to 38,126.33 Shanghai decreased 6.36 points or -0.22% to 2,932.39 Hang Seng decreased 39.64 points or -0.23% to 17,304.96 ASX 200 increased 22.40 points or 0.28% to 8,114.70 KOSPI increased 6.99 points or 0.25% to 2,777.68 […]
Stocks Fall As Recession Fears Resurface

Stocks Fall As Recession Fears Resurface

The Dow dropped 494 points on Thursday, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 also pivoted lower, brushing off yesterday’s best day since February. Investors were concerned that interest rate cuts may come too late to skirt a potential recession, with a worse-than-expected ISM manufacturing index signaling economic contraction.Those fears sent the 10-year Treasury yield surging to its highest level […]
Apple Pumps And Dumps As IPad Sales Help Topline Beat, But China Revenues Tumble

Apple Pumps And Dumps As IPad Sales Help Topline Beat, But China Revenues Tumble

Image Source: Unsplash With most of the mega techs having already released earnings – with most disappointing and seeing their shares slide – all eyes were on the last Mag7 to report during the heart of earnings season (there is still Nvidia, but due to a calendar quirk that’s not for a month) which is also the company […]
Micro/Small Cap AI Stocks Portfolio Up 14% In July; Now Up Marginally YTD

Micro/Small Cap AI Stocks Portfolio Up 14% In July; Now Up Marginally YTD

Image Source: Unsplash Introduction Only 2 of the 10 constituents in our Micro/Small Cap AI Stocks Portfolio declined in July and, as a result, the Portfolio went UP 13.5% vs. only a 3.2% increase in June. Below are the performances of each of the constituents in July, in descending order, and YTD along with a description of the […]
MicroStrategy boosts BTC holdings with $805M acquisition in Q2

MicroStrategy boosts BTC holdings with $805M acquisition in Q2

Key Takeaways MicroStrategy acquired 12,222 bitcoins at an average price of $65,882 each during Q2. The company reported a net loss of $102.6 million due to significant digital asset impairments. Business intelligence firm MicroStrategy acquired 12,222 bitcoins for $805.2 million since the start of Q2 2024, bringing its total holdings to 226,500 BTC at an […]
$35 Trillion, The PetroDollar, And Dying Western Influence

$35 Trillion, The PetroDollar, And Dying Western Influence

Image Source: Unsplash The ‘news’ is agog the United States’ national debt just crossed yet another ugly milestone. $35 trillion. Long-time readers of this (and many other columns) know this milestone was just a matter of time. And, speaking of time, the situation is now in what we call the compression phase. In 2016, the national […]
Commercial Construction Spending Is Down 9 Consecutive Months

Commercial Construction Spending Is Down 9 Consecutive Months

Data from Census Department, chart by MishConstruction spending reports are so horribly lagging that I stopped commenting on the for a while.But interesting trends are underway. Also, these late reports will influence GDP revisions.So I created some new chart this month to show what’s going on.Negative RevisionsThe June Construction Spending report was a disaster.The Bloomberg Econoday consensus […]