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Archives by Year:
U.S. September Jobs Report Soars Past Expectations
On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Investment Strategist BeiChen Lin examined the current state of the U.S. economy and outlined key investor watchpoints ahead of third-quarter earnings season. U.S. hiring accelerates in September Lin began by assessing the health of the U.S. economy in light of the September nonfarm payrolls data, released […]
Will The Chinese Party Be Followed By A Hangover?
Image Source: Pixabay The Chinese stock markets are closed from October 1st until October 8th for the ‘Golden Week’. However, the timing of the financial and economic measures taken by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) was simply perfect. After many months of growing pessimism in the stock and real estate markets, many short positions […]
Everything You Need To Know About Tesla’s Upcoming Robotaxi Event
Image courtesy of 123rf.com After exiting the negative YTD returns at the end of September, Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) stock suffered a 5.6% weekly decline. Against the 52-week average of $208.56, TSLA shares are now priced at $246.23 per share. On Wednesday, Tesla delivered its Q3 production figures, producing 469,796 vehicles while delivering 462,890, making for its best Q3 […]
NFP Blowout
Private nonfarm payroll employment surprises on the upside (big time): 223K vs 125K consensus (total NFP 254K vs. 147K consensus). Moreover, the previous two months’ data were revised a total of 46K. Here’s a graph of reported September and August release numbers, vs. Bloomberg consensus and my nowcast (reported yesterday). Figure 1: Private NFP, September release (bold […]
AI Unicorns: Cyera Uses LLMs For Data Security
Photo Credit: Pete Linforth from Pixabay According to a recent research report, the global data-centric security market was pegged at $4.2 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow 24% annually to $12.3 billion by 2027. San Mateo-based Cyera, is a rapidly growing player in the market that recently closed a $300 million funding round that sent it into […]
Grains Report – Friday, Oct. 4
DepositPhotos Food prices saw their fastest increase in 18 months in September, with the prices of all commodity groups rising, led by sugar, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations said. The FAO’s food price index, which tracks global prices for a basket of staple foods, averaged 124.4 points in September, up 3.0% […]
The Yield Curve’s “Infallible” Recession Signal Failed This Time
Image Source: Pexels There are no absolutes in economic forecasting. Thinking otherwise eventually leads to trouble. Case in point: the recession warning triggered nearly two years ago by an inverted Treasury yield curve almost certainly amounts to a false signal.The 10-year less 3-month curve went negative two years ago this month, spawning analysts to warn that […]
S&P 500 Earnings Dashboard 24Q3
Image Source: Pexels S&P 500 Aggregate Estimates and Revisions 24Q3 Y/Y earnings are expected to be 5.0%. Excluding the energy sector, the Y/Y earnings estimate is 7.1%. Of the 21 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date for 24Q3, 76.2% reported above analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 66.9%. The 24Q3 Y/Y blended revenue growth estimate is 4.0%. If the energy sector is […]
Failures Hitting On All Cylinders. The Corn & Ethanol Report
We kickoff the day with Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings MoM & YoY, Participation Rate, Average Weekly Hours, Government Payrolls, Manufacturing Payrolls, Nonfarm Payrolls Private, and U-6 Unemployment Rate at 7:30 A.M., Fed Williams Speech at 8:00 A.M., Baker Hughes Oil & Total Rig Counts at 12:00 P.M., and Dairy Products at […]
The Dollar Soars – USDX’s Biggest Weekly Rally Since 2022
De-dollarization, the BRIC countries are destroying the USD, and many other theories…All or some of them might be true, but it absolutely doesn’t mean that they have to result in any specific market moves NOW or shortly.Conversely, the proponents of those theories usually become most vocal (or maybe it is that people start to agree with them […]
