Archives by Month:

Archives by Year:

Momentum, Large-Cap Growth Factors Still Leading This Year

Momentum, Large-Cap Growth Factors Still Leading This Year

Betting against momentum and large-cap growth continues to be a losing proposition, at least in relative terms, for positioning US equity portfolios in 2024, based on a set of factor ETFs. These risk premia have dominated for much of the year and it’s not obvious that the trend is set to change, based on trading […]
The World’s Most Valuable Unicorns In 2024

The World’s Most Valuable Unicorns In 2024

The combined value of the world’s unicorns is $3.8 trillion — surpassing the GDP of India.In this graphic, we show the most valuable unicorn companies in the world as of October 2024, according to Carbon Finance, CB Insights, and Bloomberg. What is a Unicorn Company? A unicorn refers to a privately-held startup valued at over $1 billion. The term […]
The ISM Services Index, Measuring 75% Of The Economy

The ISM Services Index, Measuring 75% Of The Economy

Recently I have paid much more attention to the ISM services index. That’s because, since the turn of the Millennium, manufacturing’s share of the economy has contracted to the point where even a significant decline in that index has not translated into an economy-wide recession, as for example in 2015-16. When we use an economically weighted average […]
Private Nonfarm Payroll Employment Measures Compared

Private Nonfarm Payroll Employment Measures Compared

ADP surprised on the upside (143K vs 124K consensus):Not sure what this means, but ADP is outstripping the official series, which is itself above the preliminary benchmark. Figure 1: Private nonfarm payroll employment from CES (blue), preliminary benchmark (light blue), ADP-Stanford (green), QCEW (red), change from 2023M01, in 000’s, s.a. QCEW seasonally adjusted using X-13 in […]
Crude Oil Price Jumps Over 4% As Israel-Iran Tensions Escalate

Crude Oil Price Jumps Over 4% As Israel-Iran Tensions Escalate

Image courtesy of 123rf.com Oil prices surged on Thursday as escalating tensions in the Middle East stoked fears of potential supply disruptions in the region. The conflict between Israel and Iran, along with ongoing clashes involving Hezbollah, has raised concerns among investors about the stability of oil production and transportation in one of the world’s most […]
Russell 2000 Earnings Dashboard 24Q2 – Thursday, Oct. 3

Russell 2000 Earnings Dashboard 24Q2 – Thursday, Oct. 3

Image Source: Unsplash Russell 2000 Aggregate Estimates and Revisions The 24Q3 Y/Y blended earnings growth estimate is 42.6%. If the energy sector is excluded, the growth rate for the index is 67.1%. Of the 14 companies in the Russell 2000 that have reported earnings to date for 24Q3, 50.0% reported above analyst expectations. The 24Q3 Y/Y blended revenue growth estimate is 1.5%. If the energy sector is excluded, the growth rate for […]
Ripple and Mercado Bitcoin initiate cross-border payment service in Brazil

Ripple and Mercado Bitcoin initiate cross-border payment service in Brazil

Key Takeaways Ripple and Mercado Bitcoin’s new system targets initial transactions between Brazil and Portugal. The partnership marks Ripple’s continued expansion in Latin America. Share this article Ripple has partnered with Mercado Bitcoin, one of Latin America’s largest crypto exchanges, to launch a new crypto-enabled cross-border payments solution in Brazil. This partnership will enable businesses to […]
FTSE Hugging The Flatline, Housebuidlers Bid On Bailey Comments

FTSE Hugging The Flatline, Housebuidlers Bid On Bailey Comments

Image Source: Pexels The UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 index opened higher on Thursday, buoyed by a rise in energy shares, while Britain’s largest supermarket chain Tesco climbed after raising its annual profit forecast. The blue-chip FTSE 100 index is trading with a modest gain of 0.3%. Shares of major oil and gas companies increased by 0.6%, […]
Black Sea & South American Yields And U.S. Exports. The Corn & Ethanol Report

Black Sea & South American Yields And U.S. Exports. The Corn & Ethanol Report

We kicked off the day with Challenger Job Cuts at 6:30 A.M., Exports Sales. Initial Jobless Claims, Jobless Claims 4-Week Average, and Continuing Jobless Claims at 7:30 A.M., S&P Global Composite PMI Final and S&P Global Services PMI Final at 8:45 A.M., ISM Services PMI, Factory Orders MoM, Factory Orders ex Transportation, ISM Services Business […]
Cable Steps Into A Higher Degree Correction? More Weakness After Rally

Cable Steps Into A Higher Degree Correction? More Weakness After Rally

Photo by Colin Watts on Unsplash  Cable is coming down, with pound under significant pressure today due to Bank of England dovish policy remarks. We see pair falling out of a wedge pattern, but looking at some higher degree trends and charts, we see that Cable is in recovery mode after it moved above 1.300 in August when […]