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Nowcasts, Weekly Indicators, And Additions To The “Recession Camp”

Nowcasts, Weekly Indicators, And Additions To The “Recession Camp”

Image Source: PexelsNowcasts for NY and St. Louis Feds out today; St. Louis up from 1.14% to 1.73% q/q AR. NY Fed, and GS tracking unchanged at 3.2%.Figure 1: GDP (bold black), Summary of Economic Projections median iterated off of 3rd release (inverted light green triangle), GDPNow as of 10/9 (light blue square),  NY Fed nowcast as […]
One More Leg Higher In Gold & Silver Before Correction

One More Leg Higher In Gold & Silver Before Correction

Image Source: PixabayThe miners had a strong week as GDXJ and SILJ gained 2% on the week and Silver lost 2% and Gold gained only $8/oz.Video Length: 00:11:46More By This Author:5 Gold Charts Battling Breakout ResistanceStrong Quarterly & Monthly Closes For Gold, Silver & Miners Gold And Silver Update: Deep Dive Into Monthly And Quarterly Charts
Stocks And Precious Metals Charts – To See Evil For What It Is

Stocks And Precious Metals Charts – To See Evil For What It Is

Image Source: UnsplashOnce again, stocks managed to shake off risk-weariness in the morning, gave a little, and held it into the afternoon.VIX drifted lower.Gold and silver rallied. We may have established an end to this most recent correction.And so we toddle on into another, risk-fraught weekend.Have a pleasant evening.More By This Author:Stocks And Precious Metals Charts – […]
Who Needs Risk Management?

Who Needs Risk Management?

Corporate insiders are about as bearish on the future prospects of earnings and stock prices as ever before. And there is plenty of evidence suggesting inflation remains sticky. Certainly, it’s becoming more difficult to argue that inflation expectations remain well-anchored. In spite of all of this, investors have gone all in on financial assets. Because […]
What Are The Different Types Of Stocks?

What Are The Different Types Of Stocks?

Image Source: Pexels Investing in stocks is a cornerstone of building wealth, but not all stocks are the same. Understanding the different types of stocks and their characteristics can help investors make more informed decisions, balance their portfolios, and manage risks effectively. Below, we’ll explore the most common types of stocks and what makes them unique. […]
The Q3 Earnings Season Kicks Off Positively

The Q3 Earnings Season Kicks Off Positively

Image Source: Unsplash The market liked what it saw in the quarterly releases from JPMorgan (JPM – Free Report) and Wells Fargo (WFC – Free Report) , even though Wells Fargo came up short on the top-line while JPMorgan beat both top- and bottom-line expectations.Even more important than the two banks’ Q3 EPS and revenue surprises is their favorable commentary […]
Continued Plus Long-Term Unemployment Claims Suggest Recession Right Now

Continued Plus Long-Term Unemployment Claims Suggest Recession Right Now

Data from the Department of Labor, chart by Mish.There has been a lot of ink, most of it misleading, regarding a huge spike in hurricane-related initial unemployment claims.I discussed charts of the data in my previous post, Initial and Continued Unemployment Claims Surge, a Cause for Alarm?Understanding the Lead Chart The problem with continued claims is […]
Ranked: The Most Popular Generative AI Tools In 2024

Ranked: The Most Popular Generative AI Tools In 2024

Interest in generative AI tools has seen a surge in popularity in recent years, coinciding with the release of OpenAI’s groundbreaking chatbot, ChatGPT.Not only has search interest around AI skyrocketed recently, the number of AI patents has also seen enormous growth since 2020.While new players have been entering the generative AI space, there are clear leaders when it comes […]
Money-Market Fund Assets & Small Bank Deposits Surge To Record Highs… As Stocks Soar

Money-Market Fund Assets & Small Bank Deposits Surge To Record Highs… As Stocks Soar

For the third week in a row (and 9th week in the last 10), money-market funds saw inflows (+$11.3BN), pushing total AUM to a new record high ($6.474TN), even as stocks surged to new record highs…Source: Bloomberg …and also for the third week in a row, US banks saw total bank deposits (seasonally adjusted) rise (by […]
Fear Has The Markets Locked In A Tight Range

Fear Has The Markets Locked In A Tight Range

Image Source: Unsplash “Let’s make a move…” “OK, you go first…” “No, you go first!” “No, you!”No one wants to be first. If I didn’t know any better, I’d say no trader out there wants to be the first one to… do something. Anything. The players here are scared #%&less.The market has spent the better part […]