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Archives by Year:
Ethereum Price Breaks Above Massive Triangle – Next Target: $10,000
Image Source: Pixabay Recent price action has seen the Ethereum price breaking above the $4,000 price level again to drive euphoria among crypto investors, especially those awaiting the onset of an altcoin season. This price rally follows an unprecedented surge in Ethereum Spot ETF inflows, which hit a record $428 million on December 5 as investors continue to anticipate […]
2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?
Everybody Is Very BullishLast week, we discussed how speculation and leverage have returned in earnest to the market as investors rush to take on increasing levels of risk. With markets rising steadily all year, it is unsurprising to witness investors lulled into an elevated sense of complacency. Stocks, bitcoin, leveraged investments, and meme stocks are all […]
Q3 2024 U.S. Retail Scorecard
To date, 182 of the 194 companies in our Retail/Restaurant Index have reported their EPS results for Q3 2024, representing 94% of the index. Of those companies that have reported their quarterly results, 62% announced profits that beat analysts’ expectations, while 4% delivered on-target results and 34% reported earnings that fell below estimates. The Q3 […]
Some Patterns Of Long-Run Asset Returns
Image Source: Pexels In classes about personal finance, once of the best-known lessons is that investing in US stocks can have considerable short-term risk, but that over an extended period of time, a patient investor has been rewarded for that short-term risk with higher long-run returns. David Chambers, Elroy Dimson, Antti Ilmanen, and Paul Rintamäki discuss this pattern and […]
T BILL Carnage Begin: The First Sign Of Financial Collapse
Image source: Pixabay Wild week for a market that’s supposed to be boring and go unnoticed. For the second straight month, heavy buying in bills right ahead of the payroll report. Except, in this case, buyers went utterly crazy for the 8-week bill in one of the most incredible bill auctions. But what is all this […]
PEPE soars to $11 billion market cap, price sets new record high
Key Takeaways PEPE has seen a 1,538% increase year-to-date, outperforming most top 100 crypto assets. Binance.US, Coinbase, and Robinhood recently announced support for PEPE trading. Share this article Pepe coin (PEPE) reached a new all-time high of $0.000026 over the weekend, pushing its market cap above $11 billion for the first time ever, according to […]
The Mother Of All Bubbles
LINKIn The Financial Times this week, Ruchir Sharma (chair of Rockefeller International) argues that, “America is over-owned, overvalued and overhyped to a degree never seen before.” STATWarren Pies points out that, “Wall Street strategists spent 2024 with targets well below the S&P 500. Next year, though, strategists are poised to lift their 2025 targets by 20% (vs 2024 […]
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Dec. 9 & 16
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. Prior Forecast Observation Week of December 9 December 9 Wholesale Inventories – October (p) 0.0% -0.2 December 10 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index -November 94.0 […]
The Future Thru Futures: What We’re Gleaning From The Latest CoT Report
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 3, 2024.10-year note: Currently net short 891.9k, down 34.7k.The futures market is now factoring in an 86-percent chance of a 25-basis-point cut when the FOMC meets on 17-18 this month. The fed funds rate currently stands at a range of 450 basis points to 475 basis […]
OIL MARKET: Pressure Among OPEC+ Member Mounting?
OPEC+ has decided to delay any increase in oil production until April, extending the current reductions across its member countries. This move, aimed at stabilizing oil prices, may not achieve its intended effect. By constricting supply, OPEC+ risks losing market share to non-OPEC producers, particularly those in the United States.Indicative of this shift, the U.S. […]
