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Archives by Year:
S&P 500 Earnings Dashboard 24Q1
Image Source: Unsplash S&P 500 Aggregate Estimates and Revisions The 24Q1 Y/Y blended earnings growth estimate is 5.0%. If the energy sector is excluded, the growth rate for the index is 7.9%. Of the 20 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date for 24Q1, 90.0% reported above analyst expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 66%. The 24Q1 Y/Y blended revenue growth estimate is 3.0%. If the […]
Who Turned The Lights Out?
As I flew to Phoenix I watched as early morning strength in the markets on Thursday turn into an afternoon rout for risk assets. It turned out to be an ugly day for the bulls as you can see below. People blamed “rising tensions in the Middle East”. I don’t think so. The markets were […]
Gold-Stock Upside Targets
The gold miners’ stocks are building steam, enjoying mounting upside momentum with gold powering to nominal record highs. Speculators and investors alike are taking notice of this high-potential sector that has long been overlooked. Despite their recent surge, gold stocks remain very undervalued relative to the metal that drives their profits. Their technicals and fundamentals […]
March Employment Indicators For Nonfarm Payroll
Image source: Pixabay The employment surprise in context. Figure 1: NFP (bold blue), Bloomberg consensus of 4/4 (light blue x), household series adjusted to NFP concept (green), Philadelphia Fed early benchmark (pink), aggregate weekly hours index of private production & nonsupervisory workers (tan), all in logs, 2011M11=0. Source: BLS via FRED, Philadelphia Fed, Bloomberg, and author’s calculations.More […]
FTSE Reverse Early Geopolitical Driven Losses To Close Green
Image Source: Pexels On Friday, British stocks fell by 1% in early tradedue to increased tensions in the Middle East, as investors prepared for the release of important economic data from the US and UK. Losses reversed later in the session as US jobs data supported risk sentiment across the pond leading to an uptick in […]
Dow Eyes Worst Week Of 2024 Despite Today’s Rally
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) are once again attempting to rally, each boasting a triple-digit midday lead despite surging bond yields. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is higher as well, as investors unpack hotter-than-expected nonfarm payrolls data, which points to a strong labor market but potentially hinders the prospect of interest rate […]
U.S. Jobs Strength Continues Despite Survey Weakness
The US added 303,000 jobs in March, which is more than anyone was expecting. With next week’s inflation likely to remain hot, the prospect of a June rate cut from the Fed looks slim. Nonetheless, with business surveys universally pointing to weakness over the next 3-6 months we do expect to see more evidence of […]
Economy-Markets & Positioning For Reality. The Corn & Ethanol Report
We kicked off the day with Unemployment, Non-Farm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings MoM & YoY, Fed Collins Speech, Participation Rate, Average Weekly Hours, Government Payrolls, Manufacturing Payrolls, Nonfarm Payrolls Private, and U-6 Employment Rate at 7:30 A.M., Fed Barkin Speech at 8:15 A.M, Fed Bowman Speech at 11:15 A.M., Baker Hughes Oil & Total Rig […]
From Red-Hot To Humdrum
What if you knew that in 2026, people found Nvidia (NVDA) to be the most boring stock imaginable, and the world has more or less loss interest in it? Pretty shocking, eh? That’s what’s happened to Tesla (TSLA). This has gone from the hottest of the hot meme stocks to something a little less exciting […]
Is Samsung Poised For Significant Growth As The AI Chip Market Surges?
Image courtesy of 123rf.com Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (SSNLF) will announce its first-quarter earnings this month, and investors should eagerly anticipate the results. The South Korean tech giant expects its operating profit to grow tenfold compared to the previous year’s first quarter, reaching 6.6 trillion won ($4.9 billion).The company still needs to explain fully why this is the […]
