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Archives by Year:
“FOMO Insurance” Dominates Key Equity Options
Image Source: Unsplash It may seem like a quaint notion to a new generation of YOLO-inspired speculators, but options markets arose as a way to transfer and hedge risk. When we view options pricing data for some outperforming stocks, we see that FOMO is the main risk that is being hedged.The key to the prior assertion […]
Bitcoin Falls, BitMEX Flash Crash Shakes Investor Confidence
Image courtesy of 123rf.com In recent weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) has faced substantial market turbulence, with the cryptocurrency experiencing sharp price fluctuations and downward corrections.The market instability triggered extensive liquidations across multiple cryptocurrency exchanges, affecting future positions of billions of dollars. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $63,192, down 6.5% over the last day.Additionally, […]
Is The Fed Looking At FAIT? If So, What Would It Imply?
Image source: Wikipedia A reader takes issue with my post showing y/y and instantaneous core PCE deflator versus 2% target, noting (correctly) that as of 2020, the Fed’s new monetary strategy incorporates Flexible Average Inflation Targeting (FAIT). While I might have missed it, I don’t recall how one should operationalize FAIT in terms of graphs and rates of reversion to […]
10-Year Bond Yield Testing Key Resistance This Month
Image Source: Pixabay The 10-year treasury bond yield is very closely watched by banks, consumers, and active investors. It is used as a measuring stick for interest rates on loans, bond auctions, etc.When the 10-year treasury bond yield goes higher, so do interest rates on mortgages, personal loans, and car loans. And the government pays higher interest on […]
Wall Street Mixed As Tech Stocks Fall, Fed Meeting Begins
Stocks are scattered midday Tuesday, as investors digest the semiconductor sector’s pullback that’s being led by the shares of Nvidia (NVDA). In addition, the Fed’s two-day policy meeting is getting underway, and investors are almost 100% certain the central bank will leave interest rates untouched. At last glance, the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) is in the red, the S&P […]
STOXX 600 Earnings Outlook 23Q4 – Tuesday, March 19
Image Source: Pixabay Fourth quarter earnings are expected to decrease 5.9% from Q4 2022. Excluding the Energy sector, earnings are expected to decrease 0.6%. Fourth quarter revenue is expected to decrease 2.0% from Q4 2022. Excluding the Energy sector, revenues are expected to increase 1.9%. 281 companies in the STOXX 600 have reported earnings to […]
Forming A Base And Weather Watching. The Corn And Ethanol Report
We kicked off the day with Building Permits Prel, Building Permits MoM Prel, Housing Starts Prel, and Housing Starts MoM Prel at 7:30 A.M., Redbook YoY at 7:55 A.M., 52-Week Bill Auction at 10:30 A.M., 20-Year Bond Auction at 12:00 P.M., Net Long-term TIC Flows at 3:00 P.M., API Energy Stocks at 3:30 P.M., International […]
The FTSE Finish Line: Reckitt Reverses Lower Again On Citi Downgrade, Unilever Up Cuts Costs
Image Source: Pexels On Tuesday, London’s FTSE 100 saw a slight increase, supported by Unilever’s announcement of plans to spin off its ice cream unit. However, the gains were limited due to cautiousness ahead of the upcoming domestic inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. The blue-chip FTSE 100 saw a […]
Yen & USD: Wet Noodles Vs. Gold
Last night’s “historic” rate hike from the BOJ didn’t provide the big meltdown in the dollar that many Forex traders were hoping for. To view the dollar index daily chart: There’s a modest channel breakout and the chart is mildly bullish. The bottom line:Should gold bugs be concerned about the surging dollar?For some key insight into […]
The Market Are A Critical Inflection Point Ahead Of Fed Meeting
Image Source: Unsplash The markets have reached a critical inflection point ahead of the Fed, with rates, currencies, commodities, and equities facing a make-or-break scenario.Video Length: 00:08:29More By This Author:Stocks Rally On March 18 Ahead Of Key Events Later This Week The Fed May Make A Massive Mistake At This Week’s Meeting Market And Stock Analysis […]
