January 2025 - Page 153 of 245 -

Gold On The Defensive, Weighed By Strong US Dollar

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance 0

Image Source: Pixabay Gold slides as DXY cleared 110.00 for the first time since November 2023. Traders trimmed Fed rate cut odds, after US jobs data, CPI eyed. XAU/USD sellers eye $2,650 and 100-day SMA near $2,630. Gold price retreats during the North American session as traders seeking safety bought the Greenback as United States (US) Treasury bond […]

Rates Spark: It’s Not Just U.S. Rates Exploring New Highs

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance 0

While rates on Monday stabilised, this cannot hide the fact that markets have reassessed their Fed expectations quite noticeably. In fact, the stabilisation was only after touching new post payrolls bond yield highs. Markets are likely to maintain their bearish untertone until data signals otherwise. ECB members are trying to head off spillovers, but likely to little effect […]

2025 May Be A Difficult Year

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance 0

SPX Monitoring purposes; Sold long 1/6/25 at 5975.38 = gain 1.59%; Long SPX on 12/31/24 at 5881.63.Our gain 1/1/24 to 12/31/24 = 29.28%; SPX gain 23.67%Our Gain 1/1/23 to 12/31/23 SPX= 28.12%; SPX gain 23.38%Monitoring purposes GOLD:Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. We are up 29.28% for 2024; SPX up 23.67% for the year. The […]

The Market Is Waking To A Crude Inflationary Reality

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance, No picture 0

Image Source: Unsplash Our hearts go out to the people impacted by the wildfires in Los Angeles. The human cost has already been staggering, with at least 24 dead and as many as 100,000 forced to flee their homes.We don’t yet know the final financial toll, but as traders, we can already see signs in the […]

Treasury Rates Continue To Rise As Inflation Swaps Break Out

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance 0

We continue to see rates increasing today, with the 10-year rate rising 2.5 basis points to 4.79% and the 30-year rate increasing two basis points to 4.97%. The 30-year minus 3-month spread has increased by another two to 64 basis points. We’ll get the PPI report tomorrow, which is expected to be another hot reading. […]

Low Volatility ETFs To Bet On Amid Market Turmoil

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance 0

Image Source: Pixabay Volatility in the stock market has intensified due to rising inflation fears, uncertainty surrounding future Fed rate cuts and ambiguity over Trump’s tariff policies. This combination of factors has led to a second consecutive weekly decline for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite. The domestically focused small-cap Russell 2000 […]

TA: Nasdaq Joins Indices In Confirmed Caution Phase

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance 0

What is a confirmed Caution Phase? Some of you might know it as a warning phase. Simply put, it is when the 50-DMA remains above the 200-DMA but the price of the instrument trades below the 50-DMA. Slope is another factor. When the price is below the 50-DMA but above the 200-DMA, we look at the slope on […]

China’s Trade Balance Soars To A Record $1 Trillion

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance 0

Record Trade BalanceBloomberg notes China’s Record Trade Balance.Key Trade Points The surplus was an unprecedented $992 billion in 2024. That was 21% higher than the previous year and was driven by record exports and weak imports. Exports rose almost 11% to $336 billion in December, the second-highest month on record and behind only December 2021, when […]

Inflation Expectations Since The Election: Up

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance 0

At 10am ET, 10 year Treasury yields were at 4.8%, up from 4.7% at Friday’s close (delta 8 bps). TIPS 10 year were at 2.35% up from 2.32% (delta 3 bps). Here’re some 5 year inflation expectations data over the last year. Figure 1: Five year Treasury-TIPS breakeven (blue), expected inflation (red), and median expected inflation […]

How To Stop Overtrading Short-Term Options

Jan 13, 2025 Jeremy Parkinson Finance, No picture 0

Image Source: Unsplash As options traders, we are working with a limited timeline. We may hold options that expire in a day, a few weeks, or a couple of months. Option decay is our enemy. We lose value if our positions are not moving – literally from the start of the trade. This creates fear, and […]