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Investor Memo Q4 2024: Valuation, Momentum, And The Risk Of A Market Correction

Investor Memo Q4 2024: Valuation, Momentum, And The Risk Of A Market Correction

Stock Price Performance in ReviewThe year 2023 ended on a high note. During the year, the S&P 500 Index rose 24.2% to close the year at 4,769.83. The total return on the index, including dividends, was 26.3%. However, as of December 2023, analysts predicted a more sedate 2024. Exhibit 1 shows the average forecast for […]
Three Areas That Are Exploding Higher In The Markets

Three Areas That Are Exploding Higher In The Markets

Ignore the doomers, there is ALWAYS a profit to be made somewhere.Because of a 5% drop in the last two weeks, the overall stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, is effectively flat since election night. Put another way, stocks have gone nowhere for two months straight. Worse still, the S&P 500 is clearly […]
Asia Open: Navigating The High-Stakes Coin Flip Of Global Trade And Tariffs

Asia Open: Navigating The High-Stakes Coin Flip Of Global Trade And Tariffs

Image Source: UnsplashThe first whole trading week of 2025 started with a resurgence in stock market optimism, driven by traders with fresh annual budgets and a renewed appetite for risk. After a brief but pronounced thematic shift away from mega-cap tech leadership at the end of last year—a move that quashed the expected Santa Rally—investors are […]
Stocks Give Back Early Gains As Breadth Implodes

Stocks Give Back Early Gains As Breadth Implodes

Today’s trading session was choppy. It started with optimism driven by NVIDIA’s (NVDA) strong performance following news from Foxconn’s reported revenue and anticipation of Jensen Huang’s remarks at CES. However, the enthusiasm faded as higher interest rates began to weigh on most sectors outside technology.The S&P 500 finished up 55 basis points. It had been […]
Market Could Remain Mixed

Market Could Remain Mixed

Image Source: Pexels SPX Monitoring purposes; Sold long 1/6/25 at 5975.38 = gain 1.59%; Long SPX on 12/31/24 at 5881.63.Our gain 1/1/24 to 12/31/24 = 29.28%; SPX gain 23.67%Our Gain 1/1/23 to 12/31/23 SPX= 28.12%; SPX gain 23.38%Monitoring purposes GOLD:Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78. We are up 29.28% for 2024; SPX up 23.67% for the […]
Lost Decade For Stocks

Lost Decade For Stocks

  ↵Image Source: Unsplash Possibility of lost decade for stocks and 10-year outlook for S&P 500.Video Length: 00:15:28More By This Author:Rates, Dollar, And Economy Dawn Of A New Era Bifurcated Stock Market
Uber Launches $1.5B Accelerated Buyback Amid 20% Revenue Surge

Uber Launches $1.5B Accelerated Buyback Amid 20% Revenue Surge

Image courtesy of 123rf.com Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: UBER) has announced a significant financial move by initiating a $1.5 billion accelerated share repurchase agreement in collaboration with Bank of America as part of a broader $7 billion buyback plan. Uber Announces $1.5 Billion Accelerated Share Purchase Agreement with BofA This action is part of a broader $7 billion share repurchase […]
Technical Monday: Corn Futures And ETF Worth Watching

Technical Monday: Corn Futures And ETF Worth Watching

In the Outlook 2025 CORN, the ETF, is an honorable mention pick for this year.I use a monthly chart in the report as a longer-term viewpoint. For CORN to regain a 6-7-year business cycle expansion or go through the 80-month moving average, the price to clear is $20.00.The price of corn futures is influenced by a combination […]
The Magnificent Seven Carry The Day, But…

The Magnificent Seven Carry The Day, But…

Image Source: Pixabay If, like me, you’d watched the market edge higher this morning, what would you have guessed was leading the way?None other than the Magnificent Seven, of course. In this day and age, it’s generally a good bet that that particular “basket” of stocks will lead markets higher.In fact, in 2024, Apple (AAPL), Amazon […]
Could Palantir Stock Fall By 25%?

Could Palantir Stock Fall By 25%?

Image Source: Unsplash Palantir (PLTR) stock dropped 6% on Monday after Morgan Stanley analyst Sanjit Singh initiated coverage with an Underweight rating.While Singh recognized Palantir as a “top partner” in fast-moving AI projects and praised its “strong execution and momentum,” he raised concerns about the stock’s overvaluation.Singh set a price target of $60 per share, suggesting […]