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Archives by Year:
Are Treasury Yields Flashing A Warning Sign For Inflation?
The risk of reflation has been bubbling for several months and yesterday’s economic news on prices in the services sector fueled new concerns. The bond market is paying attention, or so the renewed rise in the US 10-year Treasury yield suggests.The benchmark 10-year rate jumped to 4.67% on Tuesday (Jan. 7), according to Treasury.gov. The rise lifted the yield […]
1-8-25 Is The January Barometer Broken?
Today is the 5th Trading Day of January, and as go the first five days of the year, so goes the month of January, and so goes the rest of the year… according to the January Barometer. We are in the middle of the January Barometer: If markets close higher today, we will have successfully […]
Truck Sales Sound A Warning
Twenty years ago Prof. Edward Leamer made a big splash with a speech to the Fed in which he proclaimed that “Housing IS the Business Cycle,” highlighting how downturns in the housing sector tended to lead recessions by an average of 7 quarters. For today’s purposes, though, I want to focus on his conclusion, which […]
Sensex Today Ends 50 Points Lower; Nifty Below 23,700
After opening the day lower, Indian benchmark indices pared losses as the session progressed and ended the day lower.Indian benchmark equity indices BSE Sensex and Nifty50 were trading with smaller cuts on Wednesday, amid muted global cues.At the closing bell, the BSE Sensex closed lower by 50 points (down 0.1%).Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty closed 19 points lower (down 0.1%).ONGC, […]
AUD/USD Dips Amid Trump’s Tariff Rhetoric
The Australian dollar posted losses of over 0.40% against the US Dollar, and the latter remains supported by US President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threats. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD trades at 0.6204 after bouncing off daily lows of 0.6187. AUD/USD faces downward pressure as Trump’s potential economic emergency declaration loomsRecently, US data showed that […]
EUR/USD: Bearish Pressure Deepens As Tariff Concerns Resurface
The EUR/USD remains under pressure, grappling with a mix of weak Eurozone economic data, China’s economic slowdown, and persistent US dollar strength. Mid-day trading in London saw the currency pair take another dive, driven by reports of potential tariff escalations from Washington. With critical US data releases, including non-farm payrolls, set to dominate the week, […]
Housing Crash Will Not Hit All Areas Equally
Image Source: Unsplash You may have been hearing that housing prices are about to crash and that prices are already falling. This storm will not hit all areas with the same force. It is a fact that if this does occur, the housing cash will not hit all regions equally. I contend big Mac mansions will […]
Movement Labs nears completion of $100 million Series B funding
Key Takeaways San Francisco-based Movement Labs is close to securing a $100 million Series B funding round co-led by CoinFund and Nova Fund. The fresh capital will allow Movement Labs to enhance its blockchain infrastructure, integrating Facebook’s Move Virtual Machine with Ethereum. Share this article Movement Labs is nearing completion of a $100 million Series […]
USD/JPY Price Analysis: Yen Recovers As Intervention Fears Rise
The USD/JPY price analysis shows some relief for the yen amid renewed warnings against excessive declines. Japan’s top officials are becoming increasingly concerned about the weak yen. On the other hand, the dollar was vulnerable as the market digested recent reports that Trump might go easy on tariffs.On Tuesday, Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned […]
Credit Spreads Send A Warning For Stock Investors
Bloomberg led its article “Credit Markets Signal Warning for a Relentless Equity Rally” with the following paragraph: Stocks are close to the most overvalued against corporate credit and Treasuries in about two decades. The earnings yield on S&P 500 shares, the inverse of the price-earnings ratio, is at its lowest level compared with Treasury yields […]
