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Alternative Business Cycle Indicators As Of The Year’s Start

Alternative Business Cycle Indicators As Of The Year’s Start

The Philadelphia Fed’s Coincident Index is out, 2.1% m/m annualized (2.6% y/y): Figure 1: Implied nonfarm Payroll early benchmark (NFP) (bold blue), civilian employment adjusted using CBO immigration estimates (orange), manufacturing production (red), personal income excluding current transfers in Ch.2017$ (bold green), manufacturing and trade sales in Ch.2017$ (black), consumption in Ch.2017$ (light blue), and monthly […]
Why 2025 Could Be Worse Than 2008

Why 2025 Could Be Worse Than 2008

Image Source: Pexels As 2024 concludes, financial experts brace for potential 2025 turmoil reminiscent of 2008, with SPY down 0.44% and Bitcoin nearing $90,000 amid volatile crypto and looming tech sell-offs in stocks like NVDA and AMD, urging cautious trading strategies.Video Length: 00:12:35More By This Author:Carvana’s Collapse: A Tumbling Market Darling Resist! No Gas Pedal
Global Home Prices Surge In 2024: U.S. Market Sees 4.0% Growth

Global Home Prices Surge In 2024: U.S. Market Sees 4.0% Growth

Image Source: Unsplash According to Fitch Ratings, home prices rose in 13 of 15 major countries in 2024, with China (-7.8%) and France (-3.0%) declining. From ResiClub Editor-in-Chief Lance Lambert… • US Market Strength: The US saw a significant 4.0% increase in home prices. • Global Trends: Notable growth was observed in the Netherlands (+13.0%), Colombia […]
99 Year Perspective On U.S. Markets: Stocks, Bonds, T-Bills And Inflation. Is The Bull Getting Tired?

99 Year Perspective On U.S. Markets: Stocks, Bonds, T-Bills And Inflation. Is The Bull Getting Tired?

Despite a 2.7% decline in December, 2024 saw the S&P 500 earn a stellar 25%, marking a strong year for stocks. Stocks have shown positive returns most of the time, with the past 16 years being the longest bull market. The past decade delivered the best Sharpe ratio for stocks (.73) but one of the […]
Fiat Money And Dark Forces At Work

Fiat Money And Dark Forces At Work

Image Source: Pixabay The Bible recounts how the Holy Spirit led Jesus into the wilderness to be tempted by the devil. The devil appeared and first wanted Jesus to turn stones into bread. (In fact, Mises criticized Keynesianism, saying, “the stones do not turn into bread”). Jesus refused. Then, the devil challenged Jesus to throw himself from the […]
XRP jumps 10% to $2.3 as 2025 kicks off

XRP jumps 10% to $2.3 as 2025 kicks off

Key Takeaways XRP surged 10% to $2.3 on the first trading day of 2025. XRP dominated trading volumes over Bitcoin and Ethereum in South Korea. Share this article XRP has kicked off the new year with a strong performance, surging 10% in the last 24 hours and reclaiming the $2.3 mark last seen on December […]
Expectations For Stock Market 2025: Read The ‘January Barometer’

Expectations For Stock Market 2025: Read The ‘January Barometer’

Image Source: Unsplash The “January Barometer” Markets are notoriously unpredictable, and as Wall Street disclosures will often warn, “past performance does not guarantee future results”. While the previous statement is undoubtedly true, it does mean that investors should not rely on past data to make more educated decisions.  After all, savvy investors understand that long-term profitability […]
Economists, Public Policy, And The Ideas That Are Lying Around

Economists, Public Policy, And The Ideas That Are Lying Around

When you listen to economists who have worked in or near government about their role in the mechanisms of policy-making, they are appropriately humble. They harbor few illusions that a quick lecture about, say, the dynamics of supply and demand or the advantages of rule-based monetary policy will convert politicians to their point of view. […]
Years Of Repeat Central Planning Mistakes Have Doomed China’s Economy

Years Of Repeat Central Planning Mistakes Have Doomed China’s Economy

China Overindebtedness, Overbuilding and OvercapacityThe Wall Street Journal reports China’s Economy Is Burdened by Years of Excess. Here’s How Bad It Really Is. Destiny deferred China’s rapid growth meant that for years forecasters expected China to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy. As recently as 2019, some forecasters were expecting China’s GDP to eclipse […]
Ranked: The World’s Top Companies By Revenue In 2024

Ranked: The World’s Top Companies By Revenue In 2024

Today, U.S. retail giants are the largest companies by revenue globally thanks to their international reach and the strength of the American consumer.Looking beyond the U.S., many of the world’s leading companies by this measure are in the energy sector. Notable heavyweights, such as Saudi Aramco and China National Petroleum, are predominantly state-owned with expansive […]