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Archives by Year:
TA: Nasdaq Joins Indices In Confirmed Caution Phase
What is a confirmed Caution Phase? Some of you might know it as a warning phase. Simply put, it is when the 50-DMA remains above the 200-DMA but the price of the instrument trades below the 50-DMA. Slope is another factor. When the price is below the 50-DMA but above the 200-DMA, we look at the slope on […]
China’s Trade Balance Soars To A Record $1 Trillion
Record Trade BalanceBloomberg notes China’s Record Trade Balance.Key Trade Points The surplus was an unprecedented $992 billion in 2024. That was 21% higher than the previous year and was driven by record exports and weak imports. Exports rose almost 11% to $336 billion in December, the second-highest month on record and behind only December 2021, when […]
Inflation Expectations Since The Election: Up
At 10am ET, 10 year Treasury yields were at 4.8%, up from 4.7% at Friday’s close (delta 8 bps). TIPS 10 year were at 2.35% up from 2.32% (delta 3 bps). Here’re some 5 year inflation expectations data over the last year. Figure 1: Five year Treasury-TIPS breakeven (blue), expected inflation (red), and median expected inflation […]
How To Stop Overtrading Short-Term Options
Image Source: Unsplash As options traders, we are working with a limited timeline. We may hold options that expire in a day, a few weeks, or a couple of months. Option decay is our enemy. We lose value if our positions are not moving – literally from the start of the trade. This creates fear, and […]
Why Main Street Capital Is The Best BDC
Image Source: Unsplash Main Street Capital (MAIN) usually sports the lowest yield and largest premium to NAV. Investors ask me why I recommend Main Street Capital with such a low yield compared to other BDCs and why I am willing to pay such a premium for the shares.As a start, based on its regular monthly dividend, Main […]
Trump’s presidency set to kickstart with crypto-focused executive orders
Key Takeaways Trump to issue crypto-focused executive orders on first day of presidency, reshaping US blockchain policy. Trump’s presidency is expected to usher in major policy shifts benefiting tech and crypto industries, with figures like Marc Andreesen and David Sacks influencing its direction. Share this article President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is set to prioritize the […]
With M&A Activity Heating Up, These Investment Banking Stocks Should Rise
Image Source: Nick Youngson CC BY-SA 3.0 Alpha Stock Images Mergers and acquisitions bounced back in 2024 after two terrible years, and it looks like the positive momentum will continue in 2025.Already, in the first two weeks of the year, there was a blockbuster deal announced in the energy space, with Constellation buying Calpine. It is one of the […]
S&P 500 Bounces Back As Traders Offload Tech
The tech selloff continued for the Nasdaq, the only loser in today’s trading, while the Dow and S&P 500 reversed earlier losses by the close. The blue-chip index tacked on 358 points, with the likes of Caterpillar (CAT) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) among its top gainers. Driving investors away from tech has been a pop in the […]
Hard Or Soft Landing?
Image Source: Pexels With Fed rate cuts, a volatile stock market and a bear steepener, what kind of landing will the economy have?Video Length: 00:13:34More By This Author:Los Angeles Fires Impact & DARP Update Dollar Breakout Supports Real Estate Bear Steepener Alert
Bonds Never Attract Interest Until It Is Too Late To Take Notice
Image Source: Pixabay Bond investors love to remain in the background, but when the bond yields are on an upward march they are suddenly put under the microscope. We need an explanation for the global rise in yields since mid-September. The bond sell-off is nevertheless both intriguing and important as the US moves into a new […]
