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Archives by Year:
A Significant Inflection Point
Image Source: Pexels Most modern efficiencies are deferred punishment. ~ Nassim Taleb Summary: Conflicting market signals suggest we’re near a significant inflection point. This means it’s key to be on your toes and stay nimble. Equity weakness is being driven by the rise in rates (10yr yield + 2std overbought). Stocks need bonds to find a floor. […]
China’s Trade Surplus Hit A Record High In 2024
Image Source: Unsplash Exports end the year on a strong note China’s December export growth rebounded to 10.7% year-on-year from 6.7% YoY in November, beating consensus forecasts. December saw USD335.6bn of exports, bringing the full year exports to USD3.58tr, which was good for a 5.9% YoY growth rate and comfortably higher than what most economists were […]
Key Events This Week: CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, Q1 Earnings Start And Fed Speakers Galore
As DB’s Jim Reid writes in his weekly preview note, it’s hard to determine what’s icier at the moment, global bond markets or the weather across much of Northern Europe and even New York where sub zero temperatures have been the norm in recent days. But as the weather warms up a bit, whether the […]
Weekly Market Pulse: Good News Is Good News
Image source: Pixabay The December employment report was released last Friday and it was quite a bit better than expected. Expectations were for payrolls to rise by 160,000 on the month but instead 256,000 people found a job and started working. For reference, the 3-month average is a gain of 170,000 so there was a significant […]
Election Gap Fill Then Let’s See
Image Source: Pexels In this short clip, Samantha LaDuc and Hans Albrecht discuss the challenges facing markets as rising yields, a strong dollar, and weak market breadth disrupt bullish momentum.They highlight the dominance of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks, which are masking underlying market weakness, and share insights on the steepening yield curve and its implications.With energy […]
Aerospace And Defense Stocks To Watch: The Biggest U.S. Contractors By Revenue
Image Source: Unsplash The aerospace and defense industry plays a pivotal role not just in national security but also the stock market. With U.S. defense spending leading the world, the largest contractors are well-positioned for growth amid rising global tensions.Below, I rank the top 10 largest U.S. contractors by defense revenue, using 2024 data from Defense News. I […]
Scenes From The Last Employment Report Of Joe Biden’s Presidency
Friday’s jobs report was an excellent one for Joe Biden’s Presidential term to end on. In the past 4 years, 17 million jobs have been created. Even if we take out 2021 as being a COVID rebound year, in the past 3 years there were 9.8 million new jobs, an average of 272,000 jobs per […]
Oil ETFs Jump At The Start Of 2025 As Supply Tightens
Image Source: Pixabay After a consecutive two-year annual decline, oil prices regained momentum to start 2025. Brent topped $81 per barrel following additional sanctions on Russia’s oil sector, which has threatened oil supplies. U.S. crude is trading above $78 per barrel. Both Brent and U.S. crude have risen more than 6% since Jan. 8, when the […]
The Unimaginable For Rates, Dollar, And Asset Values
Image Source: Pexels Get ready for some huge moves this year that will change not only your lifestyle but the economy and how the world functions. Big trends are emerging for the stock market, interest rates, bond prices, housing and real estate mortgages. And we can’t forget about commodities like gold, silver, and oil. Video Length: 00:15:48More […]
Will Banks Deliver? Earnings Report To Reveal True Picture Of U.S. Lending Sector
Image Source: Pexels Investors’ buoyant outlook on US banks, which propelled stocks higher at the close of 2024, is about to face a rigorous test as earnings season kicks off this week.The performance reports of the largest US lenders will reveal whether the recent rally is sustainable or if the sector is poised for a more […]
