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Archives by Year:
Credit Spreads Send A Warning For Stock Investors
Bloomberg led its article “Credit Markets Signal Warning for a Relentless Equity Rally” with the following paragraph: Stocks are close to the most overvalued against corporate credit and Treasuries in about two decades. The earnings yield on S&P 500 shares, the inverse of the price-earnings ratio, is at its lowest level compared with Treasury yields […]
ETH/USD Forecast: Ethereum Gets Crushed After Yield Spike In America
During my daily analysis of crypto, Ethereum has captured my attention as it has lost over 6%, mainly due to the idea of yields raising higher in the United States. The exact cause of this of course cannot be known with 100% certainty, but it is worth noting that the ISM Services PMI numbers came […]
Futures Slump As Yields, Dollar Soar
US equity futures were already rolling over following yesterday’s momentum-driven rout, when a the latest report out of CNN (a polar opposite to the just as fake news from WaPo earlier this week, but fake nonetheless) claiming that Trump was “considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a large swath of […]
Risk-Off Event That Most Miss
S&P 500 early session upswing was rejected, and neither 6,010 or low 5,990s stopped the sellers. It‘s that services PMI and JOLTs data were so good that they dialed back yet further rate cut or dovish Fed policy expectations (March).All explained in this highly practical video – what were the macroeconomic and chart clues that […]
GBP/USD Drops Below 1.2400 On Trump Tariff News
GBP/USD came under renewed bearish pressure and declined to its weakest level since April below 1.2400. At the time of press, the pair was trading at 1.2365, losing 0.9% on the day. Trump tariff headline boosts USDCiting four sources familiar with the matter, CNN reported that US President-elect Donald Trump is considering declaring a national economic […]
2025? This Market Performs Well In Odd Years
There is some information that hardly any investors seem to know – and yet it is so valuable!As such, I would like to share this information with you today. It is highly relevant at the start of the year 2025.Have you ever considered that whether a year ends in an odd digit (like 5 at […]
Record UK Gilt Yields Are Justified, For Now
Image Source: Pixabay The UK’s 30Y gilt yield has hit its highest level since 1998, and although we think structurally the rate should be lower, changing direction may need time. Sticky inflation, government spending, higher US rates and supply pressures will keep upward pressure on GBP rates. Sterling has started to sell off, but further weakness […]
Energy Report: National Economic Emergency
Oil prices surged above $75 for the first time since October based on strong supply and demand fundamentals. Not only are we seeing cold weather demand around the globe but also strong US manufacturing data from the ISM is suggesting strong energy demand for manufacturing.This comes as we are seeing signs of strong compliance by […]
Dollar Dominance Continues
Image Source: Pexels The Dollar dominance continues as we head into the North American open. Currencies have been hit hard across the board as the market prices a Fed that will be making less cuts in 2025. Yesterday’s strong US data and some hawkish comments from Fed Bostic have further contributed to the flow.Video Length: 00:00:45More […]
USD/CHF Forecast: US Dollar Races Higher Against Swiss Franc As Yields Climb
During my daily analysis of the currency markets, the US dollar is the clear winner, not only against the Swiss franc, but against a ton of other currencies, which of course makes quite a bit of sense. When you look at the bond market and how it acted. Yields jumped quite drastically during the trading […]
