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Archives by Year:
Analysis For January 5, 2025
Good Morning!SPX futures rose to 5895.60 in the overnight session a near-perfect 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of Thursday’s decline. However, there is a good probability that SPX may rally back to the 50-day Moving Average at 5939.55 and the 50% retracement of the week-long decline nearby. Why the stronger rally? Blame it on the strong US […]
Weekly Commentary: 2024 Year In Review
Image Source: DepositPhotos “Bubbles are self-reinforcing, but inevitably unsustainable inflations.” “Asset and speculative Bubbles are invariably fueled by underlying Credit expansion.” “The most systemically dangerous Bubbles are fueled by extraordinary monetary inflations – the expansion of perceived safe and liquid money-like debt instruments that enjoy insatiable demand.” “Credit inflation/expansion manifests in various forms of inflation, […]
Trump’s Uphill Trade Battle With China
Image Source: DepositPhotos If Donald Trump succeeds in significantly reducing the U.S. trade deficit with China, he’ll do so against the force of history — and of market expectations. Data: USA Trade. Chart: Erin Davis/Axios Visuals Why it matters: By placing the trade deficit with China at the top of the list of things he wants to […]
Our Gold High For 2025
A little cheer to start the new year: “We’re Number One!” Yes, across the 2024 BEGOS Markets’ spectrum, the year’s best performer was Gold’s +27.4% increase. ‘Course, for the math-challenged FinMedia, all the talk has instead been over the S&P 500’s +23.3% gain. ‘Tis the quintessential example of “Money talks, Wealth whispers”. (Got Gold?)On […]
Citi, BofA Join Goldman Sachs And Wells Fargo In Exiting Net Zero Banking Group
Image Source: ESG Today Financial giants Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BAC) have decided to exit the Net-Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA), a UN-backed coalition of banks dedicated to advancing global net zero goals through their financing activities, marking an acceleration in departures from the group, following similar recent announcements from Goldman Sachs (GS) and Wells […]
Intel On The Brink Of Death Says Scathing Report
SemiAnalysis has a scathing report on critical mistakes made by Intel (INTC). Let’s investigate. Please consider Intel on the Brink of Death | Culture Rot, Product Focus Flawed, Foundry Must Survive Intel’s board is incompetent and its horrible decisions over the decades are going to push it towards death. The decision to fire […]
On The 100 Year Quiet Revolution: How The West Is Moving From Progressivism To Freedom And Individualism
Image Source: DepositPhotos “A great revolution is never the fault of the people, but of the government.” ~ Johann Wolfgang von Goethe Quiet revolutions happen in congress.For example, the American revolution of 1913. What changed?Well, some may highlight the creation of the Federal Reserve – “The Creature from Jekyll Island.”But it was actually something of greater significance.1913 marked […]
What The Index Effect’s Disappearance Means For Market Efficiency The Disappearing Index Effect What are the Research Questions? What are the Academic Insights? Why does this study matter? The Most Important Chart from the Paper: Abstract
This article investigates the puzzling decline in the price impact of S&P 500 index additions and deletions over the past four decades, despite the rapid growth of passive investing. It explores potential explanations, including changes in market liquidity and efficiency, shifts in the composition of index changes, the role of migrations from related indices, and […]
CES 2025: AI, Everywhere, All At Once Superautomation and the Agentic Age AI Is Quickly Reshaping Content Creation and Consumption The Year of AI-Enhanced Analytics Orchestration Is Next The Takeaway: AI, Everywhere, All at Once
Photo by Steve Johnson on UnsplashPhoto by Steve Johnson on UnsplashA small section of the CES show floor is explicitly labeled “AI exhibitors,” which might lead a casual observer to think AI isn’t a big part of CES 2025. In truth, AI isn’t confined to any specific corner of CES. This year, CES is AI, everywhere, all at once.AI puts the […]
Power And Markets: Rowdy FDIC Signals Ex-SVB Execs Should Lawyer Up
The Grinch showed up this year at the nation’s deposit insurer suspending bonuses for senior officials at the FDIC. Bank Regulators have been behaving like frat boys for at least the last couple years, according to an internal investigation performed by Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton and released to the Wall Street Journal.Investigators spoke to more […]
