Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 30 & Nov. 6


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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data:           Forecast Prior Observation Consensus Week of October 30  
 
 
 
October 30
 
 
 
 
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
 
-16.0
-18.1
 
 
 
 
 
 
October 31
 
 
 
 
Employment Cost Index - Q3
 
1.0%
1.0
1.0
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y
 
4.3
4.5
 
 
 
 
 
 
S&P Case/Shiller Index - August
 
 
 
 
Twenty City M/M
 
0.3%
0.6
0.5
Twenty City M/M - SA
 
0.9
0.6
 
Twenty City Y/Y
 
1.6%
0.1
 
 
 
 
 
 
FHFA House Price Index - August
 
0.5%
0.8
 
Chicago PMI
 
46.0
44.1
45.0
Consumer Confidence
 
100.0
103.0
100
 
 
 
 
 
November 1
 
 
 
 
ADP Employment Report - October
 
135
89
150
 
 
 
 
 
PMI Manufacturing Index - October
 
50.0
50.0
 
ISM (Mfg) - October
 
48.2
49.0
49.0
 
 
 
 
 
Construction Spending - September
 
0.4%
0.5
 
JOLTS - September
 
9.500M
9.610
9.200
 
 
 
 
 
Auto Sales* - October
 
15.1M
15.7
 
Car Sales
 
3.2
3.2
 
Truck Sales
 
11.9
12.4
 
 
 
 
 
 
FMOC
 
5.375%
5.375
 
 
 
 
 
 
November 2
 
 
 
 
Productivity - Q3 (p)
 
4.0%
3.5
4.0
Unit Labor Costs
 
0.8
2.3
0.8
 
 
 
 
 
Initial Unemployment Claims
 
210K
198
210
 
 
 
 
 
Factory Orders - September
 
2.9%
1.2
1.9
Durable Goods Orders 
 
4.7
0.1
 
Nondurable Goods Orders 
 
1.0
2.1
 
 
 
 
 
 
November 3
 
 
 
 
Nonfarm Payrolls - October
 
155K
336
188
Private
 
135
263
145
Manufacturing
 
-20
17
0
Unemployment
 
3.8%
3.8
3.8
Average Workweek
 
34.4Hr
34.4
34.4
Average Hourly Earnings
 
0.3%
0.2
0.3
 
 
 
 
 
PMI Services Index
 
50.9
50.9
 
ISM Services - October
  52.6 53.6 53.0           Week of November 6         November 7         International Trade – September   -$59.7B -58.3   Consumer Credit – September   $12.0B -15.6             November 8         Wholesale Inventories – September   0.0 0.0             November 10         Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p)   65.0 63.8   Treasury Budget – October   $35B -171.0  

More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 23 And 30
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 16 And 23
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 9 And 16

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