BRN Is Trying To Stabilize Above $80/Bbl -

BRN Is Trying To Stabilize Above $80/Bbl

Dec 01, 2023Jeremy ParkinsonFinance0

BRN is trying to stabilize above the $80/bbl psychological level following the confusion sparked by the OPEC+ meeting on Wednesday.

Despite the OPEC+ announcement of it’s new 900k bbl/day supply cuts, investors have remained uncertain on whether these reductions will be fully taking place as they are being introduced on a “voluntary” basis.

Previously implemented voluntary cuts (~1.3M bbl/day), by Russia and Saudi Arabia, were also extended into Q1 2024.Adding to the downside:

The demand side pressures are still relevant as IEA is forecasting a slowdown in 2024 oil demand

Angola might produce larger quantities despite it’s OPEC quota

U.S. crude production continues to grow (+1.7% in Sep.)

However, any changes in the 2024 demand outlook or a sudden escalation in the Middle East may significantly affect oil prices.
From the technical perspective…

100-period SMA has moved above its shorter counterpart (50-period SMA), forming a “death cross” pattern and signaling a potential for a bearish market

$80/bbl psychological level may be set to provide an immediate support

To the upside, the 21-period SMA (at $81.369/bbl) may act as a strong immediate resistance level

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