Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey Slumps, Shouts Stagflation


For the second month in a row, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing survey tumbled more than expected, sliding from -5 to -11 (considerably worse than the small bounce to -4 expected)…Source: BloombergThat is a swing from April 2022 highs in September to post-COVID lows in December.All three component indexes were lower:

  • shipments fell from −8 to −17,
  • new orders decreased from −5 to −14, and
  • employment edged down from 0 to −1
  • Worse still, the average growth rates of prices paid and prices received increased in December, and expected price changes over the next 12 months also increased slightly.Stagflation?More By This Author:S&P Futures Recharge For Last Santa Rally Push, Less Than 1% Away From All Time High
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