Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data |
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|
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
|
March 21 |
|
|
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
215K |
209 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
0.0 |
5.2 |
|
Current Account – Q4 |
-$209.0B |
-200.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
52.2 |
52.2 |
|
PMI Services Flash Index |
52.3 |
52.3 |
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|
|
|
|
Leading Indicators – February |
-0.3% |
-0.4 |
|
Existing Home Sales – February |
3.950M |
4.00 |
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|
Week of March 25 |
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March 25 |
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|
|
Chicago Fed National Activity Index – February |
-0.5 |
-0.3 |
|
New Home Sales – February |
671K |
661 |
|
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
-7.0 |
-11.3 |
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|
March 26 |
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|
|
Durable Goods Orders – February |
2.0% |
-6.2 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index – January |
|
|
|
Twenty City M/M |
0.1% |
-0.3 |
|
Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
Twenty City Y/Y |
6.8 |
6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
FHFA Housing Price Index – January |
0.3% |
0.1 |
|
Consumer Confidence Index – March |
107.0 |
106.7 |
|
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
-5.0 |
-5.0 |
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|
March 28 |
|
|
|
GDP – Q4 (f) |
3.1% |
3.2 |
|
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|
Chicago PMI – March |
46.0 |
44.0 |
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment – March (f) |
76.5 |
76.5 |
|
Pending Home Sale Index – February |
75.3 |
74.3 |
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|
March 29 |
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|
|
International Trade in Goods – February |
-$89.7B |
-90.2 |
|
Wholesale Inventories (a) – February |
0.2% |
-0.3 |
|
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|
|
|
Personal Income – February |
0.4% |
1.0 |
|
Personal Spending – February |
0.4 |
0.2 |
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Week of April 1 |
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April 1 |
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|
ISM (Mfg) – March |
47.8 |
47.8 |
|
Construction Spending – February |
0.6% |
-0.2 |
|
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April 2 |
|
|
|
Factory Orders – February |
1.3% |
-3.6 |
|
Durable Goods Orders |
2.0 |
-6.2 |
|
Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.6 |
-1.1 |
|
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|
JOLTS – February |
8.829M |
8.893 |
|
|
|
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|
Auto Sales – March |
16.0K |
15.8 |
|
Car Sales |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
Truck Sales |
12.7 |
12.6 |
|
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April 3 |
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ADP Employment Report – March |
155K |
150 |
|
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ISM Services – March |
52.6 |
52.6 |
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April 4 |
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International Trade – February |
-$65.7B |
-67.4 |
|
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April 5 |
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|
Nonfarm Payrolls – March |
180K |
275 |
|
Private |
155K |
223 |
|
Unemployment |
3.9% |
3.9 |
|
Average Workweek |
34.3HR |
34.3 |
|
Average Hourly Earnings |
0.4% |
0.1 |
|
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|
|
|
Consumer Credit – February |
$12.0B |
19.5 |
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More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 18 & 25
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 11 And 18
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 4 And 11