Is Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. A Sell At Its Current Enterprise Multiple?


Advanced Drainage Systems Inc. (NYSE: WMS) trades at an EBITDA multiple of 14.4x, which is higher than the Industrials sector median of 11.3x. While this makes WMS appear like a stock to avoid or sell if you own it, you might change your mind after gaining a better understanding of the assumptions behind the EV/EBITDA ratio. In this article, I will break down what an EBITDA multiple is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for.

How To Utilize EBITDA Multiples

A Multiples Valuation, also known as a Comparable Companies Analysis, determines the value of a subject company by benchmarking the subject’s financial performance against similar public companies (Peer Group). We can infer if a company is undervalued or overvalued relative to its peers by comparing metrics like growth, profit margin, and valuation multiples.

An EBITDA Multiple, also known as Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA Multiple (EV/EBITDA), measures the dollars in Enterprise Value for each dollar of EBITDA. To determine if a company is expensive, it’s far more useful to compare EV/EBITDA multiples than the absolute stock price. Furthermore, its key benefit over the P/E multiple is that it’s capital structure-neutral, and, therefore, better at comparing companies with different levels of debt. The general formula behind an EBITDA Multiples valuation model is the following:

Enterprise Value = EBITDA x Selected Multiple

An EBITDA multiple is not meant to be viewed in isolation and is only useful when comparing it to other similar companies. Since it is expected that similar companies have similar EV/EBITDA ratios, we can come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios are different. I compare Advanced Drainage’s EBITDA multiple to those of NCI Building Systems, Inc. (NYSE: NCS), MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (NYSE: MWA), Masco Corporation (NYSE: MAS) and Continental Building Products, Inc. (NYSE: CBPX) in the chart below.

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