Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
|
|
|
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
|
May 23 |
|
|
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
215K |
222 |
|
Chicago Fed National Activity Index – April |
0.15 |
0.15 |
|
|
|
|
|
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index – May |
51.0 |
50.0 |
|
PMI Services Flash |
52.3 |
51.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
New Home Sales – April |
675K |
693 |
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|
|
May 24 |
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|
|
Durable Goods Sales – April |
1.0% |
2.6 |
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – May (r) |
67.8 |
67.4 |
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|
Week of May 27 |
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May 27 |
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May 28 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index – March |
|
|
|
Twenty City M/M |
1.5% |
0.9 |
|
Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.3 |
0.6 |
|
Twenty City Y/Y |
7.3 |
7.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
FHFA Housing Price Index – March |
0.5% |
1.2 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
97.0 |
97.0 |
|
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey |
14.5 |
-14.5 |
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May 29 |
|
|
|
Richmond Fed Index |
-7 |
-7 |
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May 30 |
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|
Initial Jobless Claims |
|
|
|
International Trade in Goods – April (a) |
-$92.3B |
-91.8 |
|
Wholesale Inventories – April (a) |
-0.1 |
-0.4 |
|
GDP – Q1(p) |
1.6% |
1.6 |
|
Pending Home Sale Index – April |
77.8 |
78.2 |
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|
May 31 |
|
|
|
Personal Income – April |
0.3% |
0.5 |
|
Personal Spending |
0.5 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chicago PMI – May |
40.0 |
37.9 |
|
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|
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|
Week of June 3 |
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|
June 3 |
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|
ISM (Mfg) – May |
50.0 |
49.2 |
|
Construction Spending – April |
0.2% |
-0.2 |
|
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|
Auto Sales – May |
15.7M |
15.7 |
|
Car Sales |
3.0 |
3.1 |
|
Truck Sales |
12.7 |
12.7 |
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|
June4 |
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|
Factory Orders – April |
0.8% |
1.6 |
|
Durable Goods Orders |
1.0 |
2.6 |
|
Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
JOLTS – April |
8.300M |
8.488 |
|
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|
June 5 |
|
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|
ADP Employment Report |
167K |
192 |
|
|
|
|
|
ISM Services – May |
50.0 |
49.4 |
|
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|
June 6 |
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|
International Trade – April |
-$69.0B |
-69.4 |
|
|
|
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|
Productivity – Q1 (r) |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
Unit Labor Costs |
4.7 |
4.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
June 7 |
|
|
|
Nonfarm Payrolls – May |
180K |
175 |
|
Private |
155 |
167 |
|
Manufacturing |
10 |
8 |
|
Unemployment |
3.9% |
3.9 |
|
Average Workweek |
34.3HR |
34.3 |
|
Average Hourly Earnings |
0.4% |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Consumer Credit – April |
$14.0B |
6.3 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 20 & 27Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 6 & 13Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 29 & May 6