Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior |
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Observation |
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Week of June 24 |
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June 24 |
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Dallas Fed Index |
-14.5 |
-19.4 |
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June 25 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index – May |
-0.25 |
-0.23 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index – April |
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Twenty City M/M |
1.2% |
1.6 |
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Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.3 |
0.3 |
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Twenty City Y/Y |
7.0 |
7.4 |
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FHFA Home Price Index – April |
0.5% |
0.1 |
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Consumer Confidence |
100.0 |
102.0 |
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
-3.0 |
0 |
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June 26 |
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New Home Sales – May |
650K |
634 |
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June 27 |
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Durable Goods Orders – May |
0.4% |
0.6 |
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International Trade in Goods – May |
-96.4 |
99.4 |
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Wholesale Inventories – May (a) |
0.1% |
0.1 |
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GDP – Q1 (f) |
1.3% |
1.3 |
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Pending Home Sales Index – May |
75.3 |
72.3 |
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June 28 |
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Personal Income – May |
0.4% |
0.3 |
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Personal Spending |
0.4 |
0.2 |
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Chicago PMI – June |
40.0 |
35.4 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – June (r) |
65.8 |
65.6 |
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Week of July 1 |
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July 1 |
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ISM (Mfg) – June |
49.0 |
48.7 |
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Construction Spending – May |
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-0.1 |
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July 2 |
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JOLTS – May |
7.900 |
8.059 |
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Auto Sales* – June |
16.0K |
15.9 |
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Car Sales |
3.0 |
3.0 |
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Truck Sales |
13.0 |
12.8 |
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July 3 |
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ADP Employment Report – June |
160K |
152 |
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International Trade – May |
-70.6 |
-74.6 |
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ISM Services – June |
52.0 |
53.8 |
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Factory Orders – May |
0.4% |
0.7 |
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Durable Goods Orders |
0.4 |
0.6 |
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Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.4 |
0.8 |
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July 5 |
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Nonfarm Payrolls – June |
180K |
272 |
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Private |
160 |
229 |
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Manufacturing |
10 |
8 |
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Unemployment |
4.0 |
4.0 |
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Average Workweek |
34.3 |
34.3 |
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Average Hourly Earnings |
0.3 |
0.4 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 17 & 24
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 3 & 10
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 27 & June 3