Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
|
|
Prior |
|
|
Forecast |
Observation |
|
Week of July 15 |
|
|
|
July 15 |
|
|
|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
-6.0 |
-6.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
July 16 |
|
|
|
Retail Sales – June |
0.3% |
0.1 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.2 |
-0.1 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gasoline |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Export Prices – June |
-0.1% |
-0.6 |
|
Import Prices |
-0.1 |
-0.4 |
|
Import Prices, ex-Energy |
-0.1 |
-0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Business Inventories – May |
0.5% |
0.3 |
|
NAHB Index – July |
45 |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
July 17 |
|
|
|
Housing Starts – June |
1.345M |
1.277 |
|
Building Permits |
1.430 |
1.386 |
|
|
|
|
|
Industrial Production – June |
0.0% |
0.9 |
|
Capacity Utilization |
78.1 |
78.2 |
|
Manufacturing |
-0.1% |
0.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
July 18 |
|
|
|
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
2.9 |
1.3 |
|
Leading Indicators |
-0.3% |
-0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Week of July 22 |
|
|
|
July 22 |
|
|
|
Chicago Fed National Activity Index – June |
0 |
0.18 |
|
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
-5.0 |
-10 |
|
|
|
|
|
July 23 |
|
|
|
Existing Home Sales – June |
3.911M |
4.110 |
|
|
|
|
|
July 24 |
|
|
|
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
51.3 |
51.6 |
|
PMI Services Flash Index |
55.5 |
55.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
New Home Sales – June |
659K |
619 |
|
|
|
|
|
July 25 |
|
|
|
GDP – Q2 (a) |
2.0% |
1.4 |
|
Durable Goods Orders – June |
0.5% |
0.1 |
|
International Trade in Goods – June |
-$98.6B |
-100.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
July 26 |
|
|
|
Personal Income – June |
0.4% |
0.5 |
|
Personal Spending |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
Real Personal Spending |
0.1 |
0.1 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of June 8 & 15
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 24 & 31
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 17 & 24