‘Worst Since COVID Lockdowns’ – Regional Fed Surveys Plunged In July


It was ugly in macro-land today with existing home sales crashing (as home prices hit record highs). But a couple of Regional Fed surveys really laid an egg…First out of the gate was the Philly Fed Services Activity Survey, which puked in July from two-year highs to near four-year lows…Source: Bloomberg
The indexes for general activity at the firm level, new orders, and sales/revenues turned negative. The full-time employment index suggested a decline in employment, and prices are rising once again…

  • New orders fell to -7.1 vs 6.7
  • Sales fell to -3.5 vs 14.3
  • Prices paid rose to 30.2 vs 24.4
  • Full-time employment fell to -4.9 vs 14.6
  • Part-time employment fell to 4.0 vs 13.1
  • Of particular note was that the capital expenditures-equipment fell to 10.8 vs 24.5… not a great sign for the future of AI investment that is still supporting stocks.And it’s not just Services, The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey crashed to -17 (the worst since the peak of the COVID lockdowns)Source: BloombergAnd under the hood, it was even more of a shitshow…

  • Shipments fell to -21
  • New order volume slowed to -23
  • Order backlogs rose to -20
  • Capacity utilization slowed to -13
  • Inventory levels of finished goods increased to 20
  • Overall, it’s bad news as Bidenomics shits the bed…Source: BloombergWe just cannot wait to hear what Harris has up her sleeve to ‘fix’ this…More By This Author:Blowout 2Y Auction Sees Record Foreign Buyers, Yields SlideUS Existing Home Sales Puked (Again) In July”Continued Deterioration”: Goldman Sees “Surplus Market” In Copper, Pushing Prices Lower In “Short-Term”

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