Image Source: PexelsI was on Schwab TV Wednesday discussing the economy, the Fed and the impact on portfolios going forward. Summary:
The market got ahead of itself with the “soft landing” narrative when, in reality, the Fed is far from being able to declare victory.
The economic plane was slowed by the rate hikes, but is not currently stalling.
The trends are mostly negative and so the Fed can’t keep flying the plane at this low altitude and slow speed or the economy will stall.
No need for emergency cuts or inter-meeting cuts, but the Fed does need to initiate a rate cut cycle at the September meeting.
Bonds: fixed income investors should consider front running the Fed and extending maturities.
Stocks: for long-term investors any volatility is a buying opportunity. For short-term investors the next 6-9 months are fraught with risk.
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