Is The Economic Plane Stalling?


Black and Gray Laptop ComputerImage Source: PexelsI was on Schwab TV Wednesday discussing the economy, the Fed and the impact on portfolios going forward. Summary:

  • The market got ahead of itself with the “soft landing” narrative when, in reality, the Fed is far from being able to declare victory.
  • The economic plane was slowed by the rate hikes, but is not currently stalling.
  • The trends are mostly negative and so the Fed can’t keep flying the plane at this low altitude and slow speed or the economy will stall.
  • No need for emergency cuts or inter-meeting cuts, but the Fed does need to initiate a rate cut cycle at the September meeting.
  • Bonds: fixed income investors should consider front running the Fed and extending maturities.
  • Stocks: for long-term investors any volatility is a buying opportunity. For short-term investors the next 6-9 months are fraught with risk.
  • Video Length: 00:08:36More By This Author:From Soft Landing To Emergency Landing? Three Things – Commodities, Bitcoin & StocksThe Death Of The Dollar (In Perspective)

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