Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior |
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Observation |
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Week of October 28 |
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October 28 |
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Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
-9.0 |
-9.0 |
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October 29 |
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International Trade in Goods – September (a) |
-94.1 |
-94.3 |
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Wholesale Inventories – September (a) |
0.0% |
0.1 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index – August |
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Twenty City M/M |
-0.3% |
0.0 |
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Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.4 |
0.3 |
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Twenty City Y/Y |
5.2 |
5.9 |
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Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q – SA |
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FHFA House Price Index – August |
0.2% |
0.1 |
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Consumer Confidence |
99.3 |
98.7 |
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JOLTS – September |
7.900 |
8.040 |
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October 30 |
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ADP Employment Report – October |
115K |
143 |
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GDP – Q3 (a) |
3.0% |
3.0 |
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Pending Home Sale Index – September |
72.0 |
70.6 |
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October 31 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
232K |
227K |
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Employment Cost Index – Q3 |
1.0% |
0.9 |
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Employment Cost Index – Y/Y |
4.1 |
4.1 |
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Personal Income – September |
0.4% |
0.2 |
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Personal Spending |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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PCE Price Index |
0.2 |
0.1 |
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Core PCE Price Index |
0.3 |
0.1 |
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Chicago PMI |
46.1 |
46.6 |
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November 1 |
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Nonfarm Payrolls – October |
140K |
254 |
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Private |
115 |
223 |
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Manufacturing |
-30 |
-7 |
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Unemployment |
4.1 |
4.1 |
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Average Workweek |
34.2 |
34.2 |
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Average Hourly Earnings |
0.3 |
0.4 |
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ISM (Mfg) – October |
47.6 |
47.2 |
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Auto Sales* – October |
15.7M |
15.1 |
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Car Sales |
3.0 |
2.9 |
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Truck Sales |
12.7 |
12.3 |
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*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence |
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Week of November 4 |
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November 4 |
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Factory Orders – September |
-0.4% |
-0.2 |
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Durable Goods Orders |
-1.0 |
0.0 |
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Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.2 |
-0.5 |
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November 5 |
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International Trade – September |
-$71.3B |
-70.4 |
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ISM Services – October |
53.6 |
54.9 |
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November 7 |
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Productivity – Q3 (p) |
2.3% |
2.5 |
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Unit Labor Costs |
0.5 |
0.4 |
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Wholesale Inventories – September |
0.2% |
0.1 |
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FMOC |
4.625% |
4.875 |
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Consumer Credit – September |
$10.0B |
8.9 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 21 & 28
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 7 & 14
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 30 & Oct. 7