WHEAT
General Comments: The markets were lower last week despite a relatively strong weekly export sales report from USDA and ideas of reduced production in Russia. The dry weather outlook continues for Russia and the US. At least two Wheat producing regions in Russia have declared a state of emergency for Wheat producers due to a lack of rain and little to no rain has been a problem with Winter Wheat planting in the US. Ideas are that the Great Plains are too hot and dry for best Wheat development are still around as the Winter crop gets planted. It is also hot and dry in western Canada. Both areas could get better rains in the next two weeks. Cash markets in Russia were higher as production estimates remain lower and two regions have been declared a farming emergency due to the hot and dry weather.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed to down. Support is at 564, 561, and 556 December, with resistance at 589, 595, and 598 December. Trends in Kansas City are mixed to down. Support is at 570, 566, and 561 December, with resistance at 593, 603, and 608 December. Trends in Minneapolis are mixed to down. Support is at 604, 595, and 586 December, and resistance is at 624, 632, and 646 December.DepositPhotos
RICE
General Comments: Rice closed a little higher last week in choppy trading and trends are still mixed on the daily charts. The US Dollar was higher and this hurt demand ideas. Lower Asian prices are still reported after India opened up exports for non Basmati White Rice in recent weeks. Brazil prices remain strong and well above US prices. The US weather has been an issue much of the growing season with too much rain early in the year. Some areas are now too hot and dry, especially in Texas, and Texas yields are down. The harvest is over for most US producers.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends are mixed. Support is at 1495, 1489, and 1475 November and resistance is at 1508, 1525, and 1532 November.CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn closed higher in response to a very strong weekly export sales report and on strong demand ideas in general. Oats were a little lower. The harvest is still active and yield reports in general have been strong. It remains very dry in the Midwest to promote the very active harvest progress. The harvest will be complete in two weeks or less. Corn is being harvested with dry grain. The Corn is often well below 12% moisture level and this could cost some yield at the end of the day. Crop conditions in southern Brazil and Argentina with reports of ample moisture in southern Brail and report of improving moisture levels in Argentina. The demand has been strong and it could be that the US political situation is playing a part in the strength in demand as many fear that Trump can win and would impose new tariffs and create trade wars.
Overnight News: Unknown destinations bought120,000 tons of US Corn and Japan bought 124,000 tons of US Corn.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed. Support is at 413, 408, and 399 December, and resistance is at 424, 428, and 434 September. Trends in Oats are mixed to down. Support is at 374, 370, and 357 December, and resistance is at 384, 390, and 394 December.SOYBEANS
General Comments: Soybeans and Soybean Oil were higher and Soybean Meal was lower last week on demand reports that were strong again for export in the weekly and daily export sales reports released on Thursday. Brazilian farmers are planting what is expected to be a very big crop in central and northern areas of the country. An uptrend is most likely starting. Ideas are that a potential Trump presidency would hurt trade potential with many countries, but especially China. It could be that export buyers and sellers are getting ahead of any threat of a new Trump presidency and the threat of another big round of tariffs now. China has announced new economic support measures for its economy last week. Warm and dry weather in the Midwest recently has hurt production ideas due to ideas of small and very dry beans in the pods. Farmers have focused on Soybeans harvest but now are almost done and are switching to Corn. Soybeans ae often harvested at moisture levels below 10% this year. Dry weather will last all week. Central and northern Brazil rains will stick around as it looks like the rainy season is now underway. Soils are in much better shape in southern Brazil and Argentina.
Overnight News:
Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are down. Support is at 984, 968, and 961 November, and resistance is at 1012, 1025, and 1039 November. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed to down. Support is at 300.00, 294.00, and 288.00 December, and resistance is at 323.00, 327.00, and 332.00 December. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed to up. Support is at 4300, 4140, and 4070 December, with resistance at 4530, 4560, and 4670 December.PALM OIL AND CANOLA
General Comments: Palm Oil was higher last week on strength in outside markets and on reports from private sources of good demand. It was lower today on price action in outside markets. There are ideas of weaker production to go along with the reports of good demand. Canola was higher as competing oils also rallied. Ideas are that China might be buying ahead to get imports in place before any new tariffs are decided and the Canadian Grain Commission reported strong Chinese demand earlier in the week. The weather has been hot and dry in Canada, and it looks like Canola production has been impacted. The weather has called for dry conditions in the Prairies and yields are expected to be the same or less.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed to up. Support is at 627.00, 614.00, and 6w07.00 November, with resistance at 647.00, 668.00, and 681.00 November. Trends in Palm Oil are up. Support is at 4360, 4310, and 4230 January, with resistance at 4660, 4720, and 4780 January.More By This Author:Softs Report – Friday, Oct. 25
Grains Report – Thursday, Oct. 24
Softs Report – Monday, Oct. 21