The US Dollar (USD) tires to continue its uprising on Wednesday, signaling it still has fuel in its tank for a push higher supported by rising US yields. The Trump trade is getting more and more priced in, and, while the Fed remains data dependent, traders are gradually paring back bets of another interest-rate cut in December, a scenario that could give the Greenback another push higher. The US economic calendar is having one of its focal points for this week with the release of the US Consumer Price Index reading for October. Expectations for the monthly headline figure are in a very tight range between 0.1% to 0.3%, making a consensus call of 0.2%. That means that any number outside that range will trigger a substantial move in markets.
Daily digest market movers: December rate cut hanging by a thread
- Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari is interviewed on Bloomberg TV at 13:30 GMT.
- Near 14:30, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams delivers welcome remarks at the Academy for Teachers Master Class in New York.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan delivers opening remarks at the ninth joint energy conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Banks of Dallas and Kansas City near 14:45 GMT.
- Federal Reserve Bank of St.Louis President Alberto Musalem delivers a speech and participates in a Q&A session about the US economy and monetary policy at the Economic Club of Memphis at 18:00 GMT.
- Around 18:30 GMT, comments are expected from Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeffrey Schmid, who delivers a keynote speech at the ninth joint energy conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Banks of Dallas and Kansas City.
US Dollar Index Technical Analysis: This is where it gets hotThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is adding more gains to its rally. That makes sense seeing where US yields are trading since this summer. The main issue could be that the trading is starting to overheat, increasing the chances of a correction soon under some profit taking. All eyes are now on 106.52, the high of April and a double top, as it would mean a fresh 2024 high. Once the level would snap, 107.00 comes into play with 107.35 the next pivotal level to look out for.On the downside, the round level of 104.00 and the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 103.88 should refrain from sending the DXY any lower. Before that level, there is not much in the way with maybe some slim support at 104.63 (high of October 30). US Dollar Index: Daily ChartMore By This Author:Crude Oil Finds Cushion Even As Traders Expect More Downside Under Trump US Dollar Strengthens Near Four-Month Highs With US Inflation In Focus US Dollar Steadies After Wild Ride, With Powell Shrugging Off Politics