Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
|
Forecast |
Prior |
|
|
|
Observation |
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|
|
|
|
Week of November 18 |
|
|
|
November 18 |
|
|
|
NAHB Index |
45 |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 19 |
|
|
|
Housing Starts – October |
1.340M |
1.354 |
|
Building Permits |
1.430 |
1.428 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 21 |
|
|
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
|
|
|
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
8.0 |
10.3 |
|
Leading Indicators |
-0.3 |
-0.5 |
|
Existing Home Sales – October |
3.880M |
3.840 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 22 |
|
|
|
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
48.8 |
48.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – November (r) |
73.5 |
73.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Week of November 25 |
|
|
|
November 25 |
|
|
|
Chicago Fed National Activity Index – October |
-0.10 |
-0.28 |
|
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
-6.0 |
-3.0 |
|
FHFA Housing Price Index – Sept |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 26 |
|
|
|
S&P Case/Shiller Index – September |
|
|
|
Twenty City M/M |
-0.1% |
-0.3 |
|
Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
Twenty City Y/Y |
4.8 |
5.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Consumer Confidence – November |
105.0 |
108.7 |
|
New Home Sales – October |
720K |
738 |
|
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
-0.8 |
-16.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 27 |
|
|
|
Durable Goods Sales – October |
0.4% |
-0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
International Trade in Goods – October |
-$105.2B |
-108.2 |
|
Wholesale Inventories – October |
0.0% |
-0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
GDP – Q3 (r) |
2.8% |
2.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Personal Income – October |
0.3% |
0.3 |
|
Personal Spending |
0.3 |
0.5 |
|
PCE Price Index |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
Core PCE Price Index |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Pending Home Sale Index – October |
76.1 |
75.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
November 29 |
|
|
|
Chicago PMI |
44.4 |
41.6 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 11 And 18
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Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 28 And Nov. 4