Japanese Yen Trims A Part Of Intraday Gains; USD/JPY Shows Resilience Below 154.00 USD/JPY continues to show some resilience below 154.00 mark; bullish bias remains -

Japanese Yen Trims A Part Of Intraday Gains; USD/JPY Shows Resilience Below 154.00 USD/JPY continues to show some resilience below 154.00 mark; bullish bias remains

Nov 18, 2024Jeremy ParkinsonFinance0

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The Japanese Yen regains positive traction amid fears of a possible government intervention.

The USD remains on the defensive below the YTD peak and also weighs on the USD/JPY pair.

The BoJ rate-hike uncertainty might cap the JPY gains and offer some support to the major.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) trims a part of Asian session gains against its American counterpart as bulls seem reluctant on the back of the uncertainty over the timing of another interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Adding to this, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump’s touted policies will be inflationary and limit the scope for further easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields. This, along with a positive risk tone, contributes to capping the lower-yielding JPY.That said, the potential for any meaningful JPY depreciation seems limited amid speculations that Japanese authorities might intervene in the FX market to prop up the domestic currency. Apart from this, geopolitical risks might continue to offer some support to the JPY, which, along with subdued US Dollar (USD) price action, should act as a headwind for the USD/JPY pair. Traders now look to the US housing market data for some impetus, though the mixed fundamental backdrop warrants caution before placing directional bets.

Japanese Yen struggles to capitalize on intraday gains amid BoJ rate-hike uncertainty

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Monday that the economy was progressing towards sustained wages-driven inflation, leaving the door open for further monetary policy tightening.

Ueda, however, provided few clues on whether the BoJ would raise rates in December and said that the gradual approach to adjusting policy is contingent on economic activity and price trends.

Japan’s Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa said on Tuesday that it is crucial to boost pay for all generations with the economic package and that he is aiming for cabinet approval of the economic package soon.

Geopolitical uncertainties stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine war and the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East offer some support to the safe-haven Japanese Yen amid intervention fears.

Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned last Friday that the government will scrutinize the FX market with very high vigilance and take appropriate action against excessive moves.

Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato reiterated that there is no change to the government’s stance on forex and authorities will continue to take appropriate action against excessive moves.

A modest pullback in the US Treasury bond yields prompted some follow-through US Dollar profit-taking, after the post-US election blowout rally to a fresh year-to-date peak set last week.

US President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration is expected to focus on lowering taxes and raising tariffs, which could stoke inflation and limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut rates.

A slew of influential FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, recently suggested caution in cutting rates, which, in turn, favors the USD bulls and should cap the lower-yielding JPY.

Japan’s National Consumer Price Index (CPI) is due for release on Friday and will influence the JPY price dynamics ahead of the global manufacturing and service sector PMI prints.

USD/JPY continues to show some resilience below 154.00 mark; bullish bias remains
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair’s failure to find acceptance above the 155.00 psychological mark on Monday and the subsequent pullback warrants caution for bullish traders. Spot prices, however, might continue to find support near the 153.85 region on the back of positive oscillators on the daily chart. Some follow-through selling should pave the way for additional losses towards the 153.25 region en route to the 153.00 mark and the next relevant support near the 152.70-152.65 area. A convincing break below the latter might expose the very important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance breakpoint, now turned support, currently pegged near the 151.90-151.85 region.On the flip side, the 155.00 mark, followed by the overnight swing high, around the 155.35 region. A sustained strength beyond the latter will reaffirm the near-term positive outlook, which should allow the USD/JPY pair to surpass the 155.70 intermediate hurdle and aim towards reclaiming the 156.00 round figure. The momentum could extend further towards retesting the multi-month top, around the 156.75 region touched last Friday.More By This Author:GBP/CAD Price Prediction: Vulnerable To More Downside As Bears Hunt Targets
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