Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Dec. 2 & 9


  Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.         Forecast Prior         Observation               Week of December 2         December 2         ISM (Mfg) – November 47.0 46.5               Construction Spending – October 0.3% 0.1               December 3         JOLTS-October 7.287M 7.443               Auto Sales* – November 16.0K 16.0     Car Sales 3.0 3.1     Truck Sales 13.0 13.0               December 4         Factory Orders – October 0.4% -0.5     Durable Goods Orders  0.4 -0.7     Nondurable Goods Orders  0.3 -0.2               ADP Employment Report – November 135K 233               ISM Services – November 55.0 56.0               December 5         International Trade – October -$75.4B -84.4               December 6         Nonfarm Payrolls – November 160K 12K     Private 135 -28     Core Private         Unemployment 4.1% 4.1     Average Workweek 34.3HR 34.3     Average Hourly Earnings 0.3% 0.4               Michigan Consumer Sentiment – Dec (p) 75.0 73.0     Consumer Credit – October $10.0B 6.0               Week of December 9         December 9         Wholesale Inventories – October (p) 0.0% -0.2               December 10         NFIB Small Business Optimism Index -November 94.0 93.7               Productivity – Q3 (r) 2.2% 2.2     Unit Labor Costs 1.9 1.9               December 11         Consumer Price Index – November 0.2% 0.2     Core CPI 0.3 0.3               Treasury Budget – November -$356.0B -257.5               December 12         Producer Price Index – November 0.3% 0.2     PPI less food, energy and trade services 0.3 0.3               December 13         Export Prices –  November -0.3% 0.3     Import Prices -0.3 0.2     Import Prices, ex-Energy -0.1 1.2  

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