ADP Employment Disappoints, US Manufacturing Sees Biggest Job Losses Since June 2023


After surging 233k higher in October (the biggest jump since July 2023), expectations were for a slowdown in job additions in November to +150k. The reality was a double whammy of pain with October’s surge revised down to just +184k and November’s print missing expectations at +146k…Source: Bloomberg

“While overall growth for the month was healthy, industry performance was mixed,” said Nela Richardson, Chief Economist, ADP.

Manufacturing was the weakest we’ve seen since spring. Financial services and leisure and hospitality were also soft.”

That was the biggest manufacturing job loss since June 2023…Source: BloombergOctober’s revision was the largest to the downside since May 2023…Source: BloombergWorse still, wage growth starting to rise again (after unions scored huge wage increases).

  • Job-changer wage growth rose to 7.20% YoY  from 6.70%, highest since August.
  • Job-stayer wage growth 4.80%, highest since June; year-over-year pay gains for job-stayers edged up for the first time in 25 months
  • Source: Bloomberg…of course, all that matters is Friday’s made-up data for The Fed’s decision next week.More By This Author:Meta Becomes Latest Tech Giant To Embrace Nuclear Power With Open ArmsWill Microsoft Ride $5 Trillion Bitcoin Wave (Or Avoid Risk); PolyMarket Betters SkepticalWarning Shot: China Bans Exports Of Gallium, Germanium To U.S. As Tit-For-Tat Chip War Escalates

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