Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 27 & Feb. 3


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.                 Forecast Prior       Observation   Week of January 27       January 27       New Home Sales – December 672K 664   Dallas Fed Index – January -3.0 3.4   Chicago Fed Natonal Activity Index – December -0.12 -0.12           January 28       Durable Goods Orders – December 1.0% -1.2           S&P Case/Shiller Index – November       Twenty City M/M -0.1% -0.2   Twenty City M/M – SA 0.3 0.3   Twenty City Y/Y 4.3 4.3           FHFA Housing Market Index – November 0.4% 0.4   Consumer Confidence Index 106.0 104.7   Richmond Fed Index -10.0 -6.0           January 29       International Trade in Goods (a) – December -115.1B -102.9   Wholesale Inventories (a) 0.4% -0.2   FOMC 4.375% 4.375           January 30       GDP – Q4 (a) 2.8% 3.1   Pending Home Sales – December  78.3 79.1           January 31       Employment Cost Index – Q4 1.1% 0.8   Employment Cost Index – Y/Y 3.9 3.9           Personal Income – December 0.4% 0.3   Personal Spending 0.4 0.4           Chicago PMI – January 40.0 36.9           Week of  February 3       February 3       ISM (Mfg) – January 48.3% 49.3           Auto Sales – January 16.6M 16.8   Car Sales 3.1 3.0   Truck Sales 13.5 13.9           February 4       Factory Orders – December 0.8% -0.4   Durable Goods Orders 1.0 -1.2   Nondurable Goods Orders  0.5 0.4           JOLTS – December 8.000M 8.098           February 5       ADP Employment Survey – January 155K 122   International Trade – December -$80.4B -78.2           ISM Services – January 55.1 54.1           February 6       Productivity – Q(4) – preliminary 2.0% 2.2   Unit Labor Cost 4.2 0.8           February 7       Nonfarm Payrolls – January  180K 256   Private 165 223   Manufacturing 5.0 -13   Unemployment 4.1% 4.1   Average Workweek 34.3HR 34.3   Average Hourly Earnings 0.3% 0.3           Michigan Consumer Sentiment – February (p) 73.5 73.2           Wholesale Inventories (f) 0.4% -0.2   Consumer Credit – December $12.5B -7.5

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