Semiconductor M&A Heating Up: 3 Stocks To Watch


Consolidation in the semiconductor sector has increased over the last few years, but that hasn’t really caught our attention because the size of deals was small — so small, in fact, that the acquirers were not even required to furnish too many details.

There are several advantages to small deals: they have cheaper valuations, don’t require too much cash outlay or disclosure and are easier to integrate.

Integration is a major issue for semiconductor players because it’s not just a question of a culture match, but also the merging of product roadmaps including in some cases, manufacturing complexities (for example On Semiconductor’s acquisition of AMIS Holdings took 4-5 years to integrate).

Many semiconductor companies also have manufacturing and other licensing arrangements with each other that serve as obstacles to acquisitions by competing firms.

Despite these difficulties, there is the lure of rounding out the portfolio without re-inventing the wheel, which could in any case prove expensive because engineers don’t come cheap. Also, resultant synergies help expand into new geographies and markets.

So while the majority of the companies have been making small acquisitions (of design firms mostly), some like Broadcom have mastered the art (its CEO said last year that it acquired 50 firms over the last 10 years).

But the scope for these small acquisitions is on a decline. Here’s why-

  • It’s become way too expensive for startups: The increasing complexities of developing and verifying chip designs have taken costs from a few million to $30-$40 million for a 28nm chip, according to Andy Rappaport of August Capital. What’s more, there’s a 50% chance you won’t recover 60% of your costs. So semi startups, especially in the U.S. have a hard time getting venture capital funding.
     
  • Greater integration of chips: The rise of mobile and then IoT is shrinking the size of devices using chips. This calls for high-level integration of chips or SoCs such that a single chip can handle what multiple chips used to do earlier, thus limiting the number of chips being sold.
     
  • Shift in innovation: Dado Banatao of Tallwood VC, which still investments in semi startups, says that the typical SoC today has very limited value add and all the investment is currently in power, performance and price. This limits the scope for innovation by startups and shifts the onus to the big guys.
     
  • Alternative opportunities for VCs: Venture capitalists have flocked to the Internet segment, where the rise of Internet companies, social networks and so forth offer a faster and surer path to profit. This is diverting funds away from semiconductors.   
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