Stock Valuation: General Motors


The following stock valuation is about General Motors, a company I came across as I was searching for undervalued companies. I would not consider it as a typical dividend stock as the history of the company is not really impressive. But let’s see what a fair price for GM is and if I would consider it as an investment.​

General Motors (GM) is an auto manufacturer based in Detroit, Michigan. The company produces cars and trucks under the Chevrolet, GMC, Buick, and Cadillac brands, makes and sells auto replacement parts, and provides financing for vehicle purchases through its GM Financial arm. The company was founded in 1908 as General Motors Corporation and entered bankruptcy in 2009, but emerged in its present form in 2010. It started to pay dividends again in 2014

Valuation

Currently, GM is priced at 36.89 USD per share.

If I take the weighted average of the 4 ratios according to the 5-year average the price would be at 52.50 USD. That means the current price is 29.7% below its 5-year average. The 5 year high was at 40.99 USD about three years ago, so currently the stock trades 10.4% below its 5-year high. In this calculation, you can really see that this stock seems to be undervalued as the 5-year average ratio makes it a higher stock price than the actual 5 year high was.

The fair market value ratio for the Auto Manufacturer Sector, according to morningstar is currently at 0.85. If I divide the current price by it I will get a price of 43.40 USD. That means even from that side the sector seems too undervalued.

Earnings per share growth

In 2011 the EPS were 4.58 USD and EPS in 2016 were at 6.00 USD. This means EPS grew on average by 5.55%. I consider that growth as ok especially as the car sector is very cyclical.

Dividend History and Future

The history of GM ended in 2009 with its bankruptcy and was again emerged in 2010 since 2014 it is paying dividends again. But at the same time, there will be no increase for 2017. Nevertheless, in 2014 the dividend was 1.20 USD and is currently at 1.52 USD. This means an average increase of 8.20% per year.

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