Goldman Isn’t Sure How Many Times You’re Going To Ask, But “Yes,” They’re Still Bullish Commodities


Goldman isn’t sure how many times they’re going to have to tell you to be patient on commodities, but they do know that as long as you persist in being skeptical, they’ll persist in sending you reminders.

A couple of weeks ago, we noted that you’ll have to pry Goldman’s Overweight commodities thesis from their cold dead hands. See, “patience is working” and “reflation requires time,” so if you’ll just give it a goddamn minute, things will work out just fine.

In reiterating that view earlier this month, the bank said the following (this was Bloomberg’s bullet point summary of the note excerpted in the post linked above):

  • Besides agriculture, commodities are back to the same levels they were in February, bank says.
  • Bank says markets likely to be supported by hard macroeconomic data, real physical demand for metals in China and U.S. oil inventory draws caused by OPEC production cuts
  • Markets “need more patience”
  • Goldman says its 2017 top trading recommendation to go long on the enhanced GSCI is up 7% “due to patience”
  • “The strategic case for commodities remains as solid with cross-commodity and cross-asset correlations collapsing. We believe this is a direct result of the reduced uncertainty around long-term oil prices due to confidence in shale as the marginal source of supply”
  • Well on Tuesday morning, Goldman is back out addressing what the bank calls some “common push-back to our bullish commodities view.” Here’s what they have to say…

    Via Goldman

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