The flattening yield curve is a topic of much discussion. The lead chart shows various spreads it in one picture.
Spread Values
Spread Values in Basis Points
This cannot possibly mean what is used to mean (i.e. the Fed is tightening into a recession).
How do I know?
In his speech today, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell did not mention “yield curve even once”. Instead he talked about “moving stars”.
For discussion, please see Powell Praises the Fed, Discusses the Stars (Literally), Defends Goldilocks.
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