Today is the final day of October.
It has been a brutal month for fund managers. So expect them to do anything and everything in their power to ramp stocks higher so they can end the month with the best possible returns.
After that, it’s game over.
The monthly S&P 500 chart has violated its bull market trendline for the first time since the 2009 low. This STRONGLY suggests the bull market is OVER.
We also have NEGATIVE divergence on the monthly chart for the S&P 500’s RSI. And its monthly MACD is on a Sell signal.
Just one of these signals would be trouble, but all three taken together (broken trendline, negative divergence on RSI, MACD “sell” signal), this is as close as you can get to “ringing the bell” at the top.
Will we get bounces and rallies? Yes. But unless you’re a nimble day trader, they’re going to be VERY hard to catch.
Bottom line: we are officially in a bear market, and stocks are going to collapse in a BIG way.