Author Archive: Jeremy Parkinson
Weekly Market Outlook – Playing With Fire
Yikes. Last week’s setback was the worst weekly loss for the market since March… a factoid made even more alarming by the fact that we only saw four trading days last week. One more day could have upped the ante on the “worst since” accolade. And yet, it can’t be ignored that last week’s […]
E Markets: Politics As Usual
Back room deals with cigar smoke and the smell of money meeting greed. The mood for markets and how they deal with politics as a key driver doesn’t get easier. The uncertainty of US trade policy balances against stronger US economic data all coated with ugly US politics. The last week brought a general de-risking […]
Will The Stock Market Crash?
This short video covers why I think the S&P 500 Futures and SPX are expensive relative to Emerging Market stocks, and why Emerging Market stocks might be the catalyst to the next stock market crash.
Emerging Markets: Preview For The Week Of Sept.10
EM FX ended Friday on a mixed note, with TRY and ARS leading the gains. However, the jobs data supports our view that the Fed is likely to continue hiking rates, which is negative for EM. Furthermore, trade tensions will remain high after the US announced plans to slap tariffs on an additional $267 billion […]
E SPX, Gold, Oil And G6 Targets For The Week Of September 10th
The SPX behaved in classic TA fashion and, after making a new all-time high, started September by pulling back and testing the break-out level. In doing so it finished the week just 3 points shy of our downside target and the August high. Therefore, the SPX direction this upcoming week should determine whether the market […]
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: The Week Ends With Raised Trade War Threats Fom Trump, ECB And BoE Rate Decisions Ahead
Fundamental traders are finding it difficult to determine exactly what to keep tabs on for generating volatility in the markets. Is the escalation of the US-led trade war with another $267 billion tariff threat on China and not-so-subtle threat to pull Japan in more market-moving than scheduled events like the ECB and BoE rate decisions? […]
Gold And The Next Financial Crisis
This NY Times Op-Ed quoted below is for the tenth anniversary of the financial crisis, written by three of the men who helped to create it, and intensify its after effects. With a little help from the like minded who have followed, they have virtually insured a repeat. Bob Rubin, Bill Clinton, and Alan Greenspan […]
Q&A: SEC Trying To Improve Private Market Access; Bitcoin Mining
Q: Hi, Andy. Is it true that the SEC wants to give retail investors more access to private markets? I mean, it sounds good. Could you tell me what that could mean for me? A: Great question. This is a pet peeve of mine. The SEC has opened up private pre-IPO investing only a crack in recent […]
This Week In Stocks – Sunday, Sept. 9
Our analysis of the S&P 500 (SPX) is for stocks to continue to roll over. Last week, the SPX fell into our support zone, of which the bottom is 2846. While we still see that support holding, our question is how long the period of risk will continue. While we believe the near-term will bring […]
Insider Selling Soars In “Cautionary Sign” To Market
One month ago, when Apple finally crossed above $1 trillion in market cap, Goldman’s chief equity strategist David Kostin said that investors had been focusing on the “wrong $1 trillion question”, adding that the correct question was: what amount of buyback will companies authorize in 2018? The reason was that according to the latest estimate from Goldman’s […]
