Author Archive: Jeremy Parkinson
Stock Markets Hyper-Risky 3
The lofty US stock markets remain riddled with euphoria and complacency, fueled by an exceptional bull. Investors believe downside risks are trivial, despite long years of epic central-bank easing catapulting valuations to dangerous bull-slaying extremes. This has left today’s markets hyper-risky, with a massive bear looming as the Fed and ECB increasingly slow and reverse […]
Fossil – Chart Of The Day
The Barchart Chart of the Day belongs to Fossil (FOSL). I found the fashion accessories stock by using Barchart to sort today’s Top 100 Stocks first by the most frequent number of new highs in the last month, then I used the Flipchart feature to review the charts for consistent price appreciation. Since the Trend Spotter signaled a buy on 4/26 […]
3 Breakthrough Technologies Changing The Energy Sector
Energy has seen some big changes in the last few years. Coal has stumbled. Renewables have surged. Oil fell hard, then spent years clawing its way back up. But the biggest change in energy has been in tech. The shale revolution unlocked millions of barrels that had been trapped away in shale deposits for decades. […]
Real Spending Flat In May, Revisions Lower April Income And Spending
Economists missed the mark badly. They expected a rise in real spending of 0.2%. Revisions make the miss even worse. The BEA ‘s Personal Income and Outlays report for May shows Real DPI increased 0.2 percent in May and Real PCE decreased less than 0.1 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.2 percent. Excluding food and energy, […]
ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update – Friday, June 29
This morning’s release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 148.2, down 1.9 from the previous week. Year-over-year the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at 3.68%, down from 3.71% last week. The WLI Growth indicator is now at 2.8, also down from the previous week. […]
Citigroup: Capital Return Bonanza
Summary Citigroup plans to return $22 billion to shareholders in the next year. The 41% dividend hike will offer an attractive 2.6% dividend yield. The bank projects a net payout yield of ~12.8%. The stock remains the cheapest in the large bank space while also offering the highest yield. After a record 13-day losing streak, […]
Biggest Structural Risks Facing The Market
Structural Risk: Trade Wars In a previous article, I reviewed the cyclical risks in the Venn diagram below. Now let’s review the middle risks which are both structural and cyclical. The trade wars are considered cyclical because Trump is going to be President for another 2.5 years or 6.5 years. Without him, these tariffs wouldn’t […]
Best Stocks Below Their Graham Number – June 2018
One popular approach to investing based on Benjamin Graham’s methods is to use the so-called “Graham Number.” There are some important differences between the Graham Number and the Graham Formula, but using the Graham Number is definitely useful even if the investor only uses it as a screening tactic. I’ve selected the best companies reviewed by […]
Emerging Markets: What Changed – Friday, June 29
(from my colleague Dr. Win Thin) In the EM equity space as measured by MSCI, Mexico (+3.8), Colombia (+2.9%), and the Russia (+2.3%) have outperformed this week, while China (-3.5%), Chile (-2.9%), and Thailand (-2.0%) have underperformed. To put this in better context, MSCI EM fell -1.7% this week while MSCI DM fell -0.6%. In […]
The One Thing That Will Stop Gold’s Bleeding
For the last four sessions, the price of gold has fallen and closed at new lows for the year. We’ve talked all week about how gold can’t seem to get a foothold despite having several prospective “hooks” for attracting safe haven demand among investors. In today’s commentary, we’ll look at the one thing that will […]
