Author Archive: Jeremy Parkinson
USD Likes Tax Reform, Ignores Flynn – Updates On 5 Pairs
The US dollar enjoys a strong start to the week, rallying on the passage of the tax cuts and forgetting about Trump’s troubles. Will this continue? On the night between Friday and Saturday, the US Senate approved the tax cuts with a small majority of 51 to 49. Eventually, only Republican Bob Corker voted against […]
The Cost Of Fake News For The S&P 500
The fifth and final week of November 2017 was a positive one for the S&P 500 (Index: INX), where the U.S. Congress’ progress toward passing a corporate income tax reduction package helped buoy stock prices throughout the week. That is, until Friday, 1 December 2017, at 11:06 AM Eastern Standard Time, when the ABC News division of Disney (NYSE: DIS) figuratively threw a […]
Indian Indices Trade Marginally Higher; IT Stocks Witness Buying
Stock markets in India are presently trading marginally higher. Sectoral indices are trading on a positive note with stocks in the IT sector and metal sector witnessing maximum buying interest. Consumer durables stocks are trading in the red. The BSE Sensex is trading up 139 points (up 0.4%) and the NSE Nifty is trading up 37 points (up 0.4%). The BSE Mid Cap index is trading up by […]
Indices Stage Intraday Recoveries In Wide Range Day
Volatility took a tick higher with profit taking sweeping across the broad before buyers zipped it all back up. Trump’s Russian investigation will add a level of uncertainty to the Tax Cut rally and markets may take another trip into Friday’s intraday low; should markets deliver a lower close Monday then it could turn into […]
Long Crude Becomes Even More Crowded: CFTC
Looking at this week’s COT report, short crude oil and short Swiss franc remain in extreme territory. This is shown below: CFTC COT (futures & options combined) – November 28, 2017 Source: CFTC, MarketsNow Notable extremes are bolded, and are highlighted when speculator positioning is more than two standard deviations above historical trailing 1-year and […]
E The Complex Source Of Germany’s Huge Current Account Surplus
“In the case of Germany, as in any surplus country, savings may be too high, but investment also may be too low. And while both factors reflect the behavior of individual households, firms, or the government, large surpluses, more often than not, are a result of high saving rates among households in aging societies. That […]
Market Forecast For 2018: More Volatility & Political Uncertainty
In last year’s market outlook for 2017, I anticipated a rise of around 11% in U.S. equities, in general, to place the S&P 500 Index at just above the 2400 level by the end of the year (my post was written on December 1, 2016, so my calculations and forecast hadn’t incorporated a further 80-point […]
TV’s Cry For Help
Welcome to the TV industry’s latest bit of magic … prestidigitalization. It’s a new twist on the old sleight-of-measurement trick. Here’s how it works. You buy TV the old-fashioned way because, well, that’s how you buy TV. The ratings suck. You want to pay less because you’re getting less. TV says, “You’re not getting less. […]
GBP/USD Forecast Dec. 4-8 2017
GBP/USD made a break to higher ground on growing hopes for a Brexit breakthrough on all fronts. PMIs stand out in the upcoming week, which is quite busy. Here are the key events and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD. Hopes for a deal on the divorce bill in the Brexit negotiations sent the pound to the highest […]
Amazon Strikes Again: CVS To Buy Aetna For $69BN In Year’s Largest Deal, “Reshaping Health Care”
A deal that was months in the making is finally official, with Aetna’s board of directors approving on Sunday the health insurer’s sale to drugstore chain operator CVS Health Corp for approximately $207 per share in cash and stock, in a deal worth $67 billion, multiple news sources reported on Sunday afternoon. The purchase price represents a premium of […]
