Author Archive: Jeremy Parkinson

GDPNow Estimate Sinks To 1.4%; What About That “Sufficient Momentum” For Rate Hikes?

GDPNow Estimate Sinks To 1.4%; What About That “Sufficient Momentum” For Rate Hikes?

On March 21, Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart had “Kaleidoscopic” visions of rate hikes as soon as April. In his speech to the Rotary Club of Savannah, Lockhart cited “sufficient momentum evidenced by the economic data to justify a further step at one of the coming meetings, possibly as early as the meeting scheduled for […]
Was Restoration Hardware Too Ambitious?

Was Restoration Hardware Too Ambitious?

Video Length: 00:06:00 We discuss the situation of Restoration Hardware (RH – Snapshot Report). It launched two new brands in the fourth quarter of 2015, RH Modern and RH Teen. Both had their own source catalogs and web sites.  It was a huge undertaking which apparently didn’t go according to plan as orders overwhelmed inventories, especially in […]
2 Options Strategies For Profits From A Hated Sector

2 Options Strategies For Profits From A Hated Sector

In response to a recent article I wrote on the Gold Trust ETF (GLD) some readers have asked my thoughts on gold miners. While my last article was more of a bullish thesis on gold from a fundamental perspective and offered a simple strategy of playing gold by buying GLD, this article on the Market […]
Still Bouncing Around

Still Bouncing Around

Over the past week my core market health indicators bounced around, but were mostly down. None of them moved enough to change any portfolio allocations. Enjoy the holiday weekend everyone!
Prospect Capital: Big Dividend, Discounted Price Stock Of The Week

Prospect Capital: Big Dividend, Discounted Price Stock Of The Week

Income-hungry investors are often drawn to Business Development Companies (BDC) because of their high dividend yields (many of them are currently in excess of 10%). Generally speaking, it can be a red flag when a publicly-traded investment yields in the double digits, perhaps a sign of distress.  However, the BDC space may be ripe for […]
Binary Options Trading Opportunities For March 25, 2016

Binary Options Trading Opportunities For March 25, 2016

During the day on Thursday, the market has very little in the way of announcements to move the market, so having said that it is likely that that we will have a fairly subtle day with perhaps the exception of the GDP numbers coming out of the United States. USD/CHF The USD/CHF pair rose slightly […]
Prudential… Finally

Prudential… Finally

I’ve offered up Prudential, shown below, as a short idea over and over again, but it just sort of farted along, in spite of its absolutely glorious topping pattern. Well, our national nightmare is over. It’s finally falling, and I expect ungodly lower prices to come in the months ahead.
Yield Curve Is Indicating Slowdown; Recession Probability Increases

Yield Curve Is Indicating Slowdown; Recession Probability Increases

Analysis Overview – The yield spread (10-year Treasuries minus three-month Treasuries) is a good indicator of economic slowdown or potential recession and this article discusses recession probability from yield spread perspective. The chart below gives the yield spread from 1959 to February 2016. It is important to note that in all recent instances of recession, the […]
Where Should Eurusd Go From Here?

Where Should Eurusd Go From Here?

The EURUSD is standing at very important POC 1.1145-60. This is 4h support and POC ( T-89 ™, Inner Trend Line, Historical Bullish Order Block). If EURUSD wants to go up it should spike from POC else we might see a drop towards 1.1055 -a historical BPC pattern. On the chart we can easily identify […]
The Chocolate Cookie Day Trade

The Chocolate Cookie Day Trade

If you are a red blooded American of a certain age, eventually your metabolism will simply stop working. It doesn’t matter that you exercise every week. It doesn’t matter that you take 20,000 steps each day. It doesn’t matter that you eat only boiled eggs for breakfast. You will start getting fat. The belly will […]