Author Archive: Jeremy Parkinson
Do Business Cycles Die Of Old Age?
by Timothy Taylor, Conversable Economist Whenever the US economy looks shaky, one of the most common questions I hear is whether this recovery has “run its course” or “gotten old.” The downturn of the US economy during the Great Recession ended back in June 2009, so it’s now been about 80 months of an economy on an (often […]
Global Oil Equation
Costs for servicing oil projects have pulled back considerably after a nice decade of price spikes, but oil servicing costs are going to rise again, necessitating higher oil prices to justify capital allocation behavior. There is no cure for low prices like low prices when the globe utilizes around 95 million barrels of oil per […]
Busy Trading Week For The Cable With Options
Cable has had a good run over the past 2 weeks going from its most recent low at 1.38351 on 29 February to top out at 1.44361 last Friday. This week has seen the Pound stumble again as price has now fallen back down, trading below 1.4150. This week should prove to be a busy […]
Rate Hike Expectations Surge Into March Fed Meeting As Divergent Market Participation Looms
What a difference a month makes. On February 19, the S&P 500 (SPY) was taking a brief rest from a sprint off oversold conditions. The market for Fed Fund Futures had priced away any rate hikes for all of 2016. Ever since then, expectations have risen ever higher. NOW, the market expects the next rate hike […]
UK Wages Rise 2.2% – GBP/USD Attempts A Recovery
UK wages were expected to rise 2% in January from 1.9% in December. Excluding bonuses, the figure was expected to rise from 2% to 2.1%. The unemployment rate was predicted to stay unchanged at 5.1%. Jobless claims for February were predicted to drop by 9.1K after a nice fall of 14.8K in January. GBP/USD was bouncing from the […]
Oil Pops After Lower-Than-Expected Crude Build
Against expectations of a 3.2mm build, API reported a 1.5mm build after-hours yesterday which sparked a modest pop in crude prices. Cushing saw its 7th weekly build (471k) as Gasoline extended its run of draws to the 4th week. API: Crude +1.5m Cushing +471k Gasoline -1.2m 5th weely crude build, 7th weekly Cushing build, but 4th weekly […]
Economic Theory And Practice: Bank Of Japan Says “-0.5% Is Theoretically Possible”
In an obvious attempt to boost the Japanese stock market the Bank of Japan discusses further cuts in its already negative interest rate policy. How deep is the rabbit hole? Supposedly it’s “theoretically possible for negative 0.5 percent”. Bloomberg reports Kuroda Says Minus 0.5% Rate Is Theoretically Possible for Japan. The Bank of Japan has quite […]
Fed Meets Today, Rates Expected To Remain Steady
The U.S. Federal Reserve meets today and is expected to hold interest rates steady as it considers ongoing concerns about the health of the global economy as fresh signs of domestic inflation are starting to appear. The Fed’s latest policy statement will be released at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) along with updated economic projections […]
OHA Reports Q4 And 2015 Results And Announces Quarterly Distribution
NEW YORK, March 15, 2016 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — OHA Investment Corporation (Nasdaq:OHAI) (the “Company”) yesterday announced its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2015 and announced a quarterly distribution of $0.06 per share. Management will discuss the Company’s results summarized below on a conference call on Wednesday, March 16, 2016, at […]
Trading PayPal – Call Or Put Options
PayPal Holdings Inc (Nasdaq: PYPL) stock has a 52-week trading range of $30 on the low end and $42.55 on the high end. At its current price, it is in the upper quadrant of its 1-year high, and looks to be holding relatively steady. However there are several important developments taking place with PayPal […]
